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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly first came to the virtual battlefields of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, when it was presented as a new skin for the highly expected release of the "Operation Riptide" update. Since then, this field-tested variation has grown in popularity among gamers, just perfect due to its catching autumn theme combined with the firepower one gets from the MP5-SD submachine gun.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly, Field-Tested, cannot be obtained through standard container drops but is a reserved skin within the collection of 2021 Train. With its unique design and autumn theme, it's definitely a nice skin addition to any arsenal of a CS2 player.
The popularity of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is very high at 85%. This speaks to its standing among the higher echelons of popular skins within CS2, determined by a good sale volume and a high price for it.
The Autumn Twilly is the peculiarity of 237 other SMG skins, which makes this skin one of the pretty rare options among players. Having the in-game rarity classification as Restricted, the drop chance of Autumn Twilly is evaluated as 15.98%, which predicates it as a pretty rare in-game drop within CS2.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly skin from CS2 is pretty cheap, given that its price fluctuates between $1.58-$4.43. Moreover, it is easy to get because the skin is in large supply on different markets and can be found in about 226.6K units in public CS2 inventories.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly has a range of float value from 0.00 to 0.58, and this highly adaptable skin allows players of any condition to showcase its quirky colorway of an autumn-themed design. However, for collectors who look to add StatTrak or Souvenir versions to their collection, they won't find it in this skin.
Given the fact that MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly has reached quite a good community sentiment, scoring 4.4 of 5 stars with more than 497 votes at addsikins.com, this skin is quite popular among professionals. In fact, it belongs to professional CS2 player pashabiceps, so this is the skin which skilled players want to have in their inventory.
With the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Field-Tested), the finish used is the Hydrographic. For this finish type, the disassembled parts of the weapon are dipped in a water tank containing a floating hydrographic film. This film, upon contact with the primed weapon parts, forms a highly engaging pattern that identifies the signature look belonging to the Autumn Twilly. The overall appearance of this finish would also be determined by its pattern index, making each MP5-SD one-of-a-kind.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Field-Tested) is expected grow to $ 7.87 (4.52%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 6.92 (-8.1%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.04 (6.77%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 15.27 (103.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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