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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly was received in CS: GO on September 21st, 2021, when this skin for MP5-SD was released. This catchy skin was a part of the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, adding some bits of autumn to the game.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is a Rare skin, and it was not possible to get from any container opening. It is only available with the 2021 Train Collection, which makes this weapon a highly desirable object among collectors and in-game skin enthusiasts.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly-Minimal Wear has been one of the popular skins, holding an 85% popularity rating, placing it at the top 15% of the most popular items in CS2. Given the relatively stable day-to-day sale volume and its moderate market price,.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is one of the 237 other SMG skins in CS2, which would make it a relatively rare breed of skins to have. Having the skin rarity class as restricted does incur an estimated drop chance of 15.98%, further enhancing the status and rarity of it to collectors and players alike.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) is the most affordable skin and is representative of a really wide price range: from $1.58 to $4.43, which allows many players to buy it. It's already highly available in many markets, and the total amount of units in public CS2 inventories has reached 226.6K pieces.
The float value of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, making it a little worn and barely used. This skin is available in all the possible exterior options so that one can enjoy this freely without any restrictions in an autumn theme. Nevertheless, for now, collectors must understand that there is no StatTrak or Souvenir version of the Autumn Twilly.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly has gathered over 497 votes within the community on addskins.gg, achieving an incredible average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity can also be underlined by the fact that this gun is owned by such a well-known professional CS2 player as pashabiceps.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) showcases an interesting "Hydrographic" style wherein parts of the gun are elaborately dipped into a water tank with floating hydrographic film. While the film clings to the primed parts, it reveals an interesting pattern to give the characteristic look of the Autumn Twilly skin, which varies according to its pattern index.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 9.99 (18.65%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 8.84 (4.99%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 11 (30.64%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 20.59 (145.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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