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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly came into the CS2 world one year ago, exactly on September 21st, 2021. This skin started popping into the hands of players when the highly awaited "Operation Riptide" update gave the autumn season a decorative flair to the arsenal in this game.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly skin, with a well-worn condition, cannot be earned through normal container drops but is a part of the 2021 Train Collection. As with that, an added tinge of rarity and exclusivity has been given to this particular skin. Its original design, topped with the worn look, makes it highly desirable to CS2 collectors.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is a very popular weapon in CS2; its popularity level has reached a record level of 85%. Based on the information above, it appears in the top level of the most popular items in the game, judged from its very high sales volume each day and the high price it fetched.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) is one of the other 237 SMG skins that exist in CS2. This skin has a Restricted rarity with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) is a cheap skin, ranging in a price from $1.58 to $4.43, depending on the market. That being said, there are plenty of autumn twillies within various markets that are available for a relatively easy purchase. Finally, there is a very large amount of 226.6K units supply of the Autumn Twilly in public CS2 inventories.
The Float Value ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, which means this skin will appear light worn with visible scratches and wear marks. StatTrak and Souvenir variations of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) do not exist, so it is just a regular version, available in all exterior conditions.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly gained quite enough popularity in the community with more than 497 votes on addskins.gg, scoring an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity can be judged by ownership of this skin by one of the most famous professional CS2 players, pashabiceps, which will make it really interesting for casual and competitive players.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) has a "Hydrographic" pattern style that involves dipping disassembled weapon parts through a hydrographic film suspended in a water tank. The film then sticks to the primed parts in a truly interesting pattern that defines the unique look of the Autumn Twilly finish. Some finishes may have a slightly different pattern index than others, which may slightly affect the appearance of the skin each wear of the skin falls into.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 6.81 (-3.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.37 (4.39%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.45 (19.69%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 16.65 (136.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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