MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New)

4.9 1439 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.55
+18.84%
Last month
$ 1.13
+48.29%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.83
-18.44%
In a quarter
$ 2.51
-27.67%
In half a year
$ 3
-13.54%
In a year
$ 6.51
+87.61%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
17% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
98 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
11 offers
from $ 3.47
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
8 offers
from $ 4.28
Skinport
Skinport
21 offers
from $ 4.36
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
5 offers
from $ 4.45
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
4 offers
from $ 4.45
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 4.46
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 4.47
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
9 offers
from $ 4.5
Steam
Steam
32 offers
from $ 4.52
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 7
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Condition Zero inspecting MP5-SD | Condition Zero reloading MP5-SD | Condition Zero holding MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-1 MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-2 MP5-SD | Condition Zero pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.47
  • 24h price change: 0.58%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.92
  • 7 days high: $ 38.64
  • 7 days price change: 18.84%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.34
  • 30 days high: $ 38.92
  • 30 days price change: 48.29%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.74
  • 90 days high: $ 39.12
  • Year low: $ 0.85
  • Year high: $ 39.12
  • All time low: $ 0.67
  • All time high: $ 39.12
  • All time max offers: 238
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 79
  • Sales for last 30 days: 269
  • Sales for last 90 days: 697
  • All time sales: 1934
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.36
  • Volatility: 19.01%
  • Liquidity: 7.76%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: -18.44%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.51
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -27.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -13.54%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 6.51
  • Price forecast change in a year: 87.61%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.43
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.43
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.68
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.65
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.89
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.97
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.85
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.99
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.94
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.25
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.04
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.34
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.98
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.46
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.43
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
167 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.71
67%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
152 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

History

History

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero features a Factory New finish, and it was created and entered the world of CS2 exactly 2 years ago, on December 3rd, 2020, as part of the highly expected Operation Broken Fang Case. This great skin was designed by an ambitious community designer going by the name of "Andy," and he really proved to be a talented craftsman with great attention to detail.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero Factory New is highly valued in CS2. One of the ways to receive this skin is by opening it from a container entitled Operation Broken Fang Case. The skin belongs to the very rare Operation Broken Fang Collection and adds additional class with this weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero is one of the pursued skins in CS2, holding a certain popularity rating at 85%. In the game, this skin belongs to the top 15% regarding the desire of items and then is judged based on its daily sale volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Condition Zero MP5-SD | Factory New has a total of 237 other SMG skins in CS2. It falls in the category of Mil-Spec Grade and is considered relatively common. This skin has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, hence is very frequently dropped for players.

Availability

Availability

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero Factory New is a rather inexpensive skin, with a price oscillating between $0.19 and $2.28. It is thus highly attractive for those players who have very limited budgets. It is also highly accessible since it is widely available on various markets. Currently, there are about 728.7K units of this skin available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP5-SD | Condition Zero Factory New in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, thus being able to show in all kinds of various exteriors to fit the wide spectrum of appearances. For each Condition Zero version of the exterior, there is a StatTrak variant of it, too, making it an even further tracked item of prestige.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Condition Zero has a huge following within the community, amassing more than 1.3K votes on addskins.gg and an incredible average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further evident, as two popular professional CS2 players-fallen and s1mple-have added this skin to their personal collections, hence it is a desirable choice among professionals.

Finish style

Finish style

This MP5-SD features a "Gunsmith" finish, carefully done in a combination of patina with custom paint style work, yielding a simply striking appearance. The Condition Zero finish is uniform for all the pattern indexes, continuing through for a consistent, clean look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2.83 (-18.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.51 (-27.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3 (-13.54%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.51 (87.61%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players