MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)

4.9 875018 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.04
+30.77%
Last month
$ 0.042
+32.81%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.156
-8.06%
In a quarter
$ 0.153
-9.94%
In half a year
$ 0.193
+13.35%
In a year
$ 0.319
+87.88%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
540 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Desert Strike inspecting MP5-SD | Desert Strike reloading MP5-SD | Desert Strike holding MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-1 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-2 MP5-SD | Desert Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.17
  • 24h price change: 30.77%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.13
  • 7 days high: $ 741
  • 7 days price change: 30.77%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.128
  • 30 days high: $ 741
  • 30 days price change: 32.81%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.1
  • 90 days high: $ 741
  • Year low: $ 0.06
  • Year high: $ 4 985
  • All time low: $ 0.05
  • All time high: $ 4 985
  • All time max offers: 812
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 88
  • Sales for last 7 days: 781
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3234
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7790
  • All time sales: 21182
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 2.28
  • Volatility: 11.97%
  • Liquidity: 10.23%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.156
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.06%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.153
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -9.94%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.193
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 13.35%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.319
  • Price forecast change in a year: 87.88%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.119
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.119
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.119
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.119
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.095
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.2
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.119
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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Well-Worn
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$ 0.62
77%
From last month
142 offers on 8 markets
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In a year 50%
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Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
422 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
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Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
162 offers on 9 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
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MP5-SD
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Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
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4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
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MP5-SD
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Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
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MP5-SD
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Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.72
66%
From last month
258 offers on 7 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
145 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.58
35%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
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Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 34%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike in Minimal Wear is one of the most popular variants of the legendary MP5, known for its peerless versatility and popularity among SMGs. The integrated silencer turns the gun into a sneaky powerhouse: perform swift and silent strikes. The custom high-tech tan and black design brings style to its raw capabilities. It is something every professional player of CS2 should have in their collection.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike dropped into CS2 on March 31st, 2020, with the Prisma 2 Case. This breathtaking skin, designed by "Nextgenz," a community-driven designer, has fast become one of the most popular choices with players looking to give their arsenal a touch of desert-themed style.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike, in a minimal wear condition, comes via opening a Prisma 2 Case container filled with different types of skins for weapons. This skin is also part of the Prisma 2 Collection, providing players of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive with a truly unique and highly sought-after look.

Popularity

Popularity

Since the MP5-SD | Desert Strike Minimal Wear holds an 85% popularity rating, it is among the hottest items in CS2 and falls within the top 15% when it comes to popularity. The rating is based on this skin's daily sales volume in combination with its market price, which underlines the high demand for it by players.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) is among the 237 SMG skins in the CS2 inventory. In the game, it has the Mil-Spec Grade skin with a common drop and an estimated 79.92% drop chance.

Availability

Availability

The MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) is a pretty cheap skin, as it costs in a range of $0.03-$0.93, so this skin is pretty easy for any CS2 player. Besides, it is widely available because this skin is possible to be obtained in different markets, and there are around 1.9 million units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the MP5-SD | Desert Strike skin ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, making this skin slightly worn, with a few marks showing scratches and wear. Other than the general issue, there is a StatTrak version for each of the exterior parts of the Desert Strike skin that adds to the flair and ability to show off kills taken with this weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

For instance, MP5-SD | Desert Strike has gained a significant fanbase from the community, amassing over 875 votes on addsksin.com and receiving an incredible average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity went all the way to professional play in CS2, with two popular pros like fnx and s1mple proudly owning the skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear MP5-SD | Desert Strike features an "Custom Paint Job" style, showcasing a uniquely hand-painted appearance and displaying a variety of colors. The skin has a smooth combination of black and gray colorations, while pattern indexes don't change the Desert Strike finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.156 (-8.06%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.153 (-9.94%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.193 (13.35%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.319 (87.88%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players