MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 4250 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.001
+11.11%
Last month
$ 0.002
+25%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.013
+17.27%
In a quarter
$ 0.009
-20.61%
In half a year
$ 0.01
-5.45%
In a year
$ 0.019
+70.91%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
3167 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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White.Market
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84 offers
from $ 0.02
ShadowPay
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5 offers
from $ 0.02
Steam
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1519 offers
from $ 0.04
Lis-skins
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2 offers
from $ 0.3
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 300
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 4 935
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop inspecting MP5-SD | Dirt Drop reloading MP5-SD | Dirt Drop holding MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-1 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-2 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.01
  • 24h price change: 11.11%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.009
  • 7 days high: $ 4 935
  • 7 days price change: 11.11%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.008
  • 30 days high: $ 4 935
  • 30 days price change: 25%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.006
  • 90 days high: $ 4 935
  • Year low: $ 0.003
  • Year high: $ 4 935
  • All time low: $ 0.003
  • All time high: $ 4 935
  • All time max offers: 9419
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 801
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5123
  • Sales for last 30 days: 34189
  • Sales for last 90 days: 70876
  • All time sales: 197383
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -0.6
  • Volatility: 21.62%
  • Liquidity: 6.95%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.013
  • Price forecast change in a month: 17.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.009
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -20.61%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.01
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -5.45%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.019
  • Price forecast change in a year: 70.91%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.015
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.005
50.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.008
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.006
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.015
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.005
50.00%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.005
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.01
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
146 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
423 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
67%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop is one of the highly sought-after variants of the highly popular MP5, which has gained a great reputation for its versatility and widespread usage. This version features an integrated silencer, adding to its already impressive features an extra boost to perform stealthily. Its battle-scarred look has black streaks sprayed all over its dark base, reminding players that dirt might be harmless-looking but can soon become an opponent.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop was added to CS2 on September 3rd, 2018. It is part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package and the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update. Since its release, this battle-scarred skin has been in demand as it displays various signs of wear and tear from the violence of battle within a virtual battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) was released in CS2 as part of the 2018 Inferno Collection. Opening one of the seven containers featuring the skin is the only way to get this skin; among them are Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package containers.

Popularity

Popularity

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop - a skin with a popularity of 75% within the CS2 community - ranks better than 25% of all other items in-game, based on daily sold volume and average market value of the skin.

Rarity

Rarity

There are 237 other skins for the SMG in CS2, making the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) a rather common drop. Because this is a Consumer Grade skin, this weapon also drops frequently in matches, so this skin can be easily added to one's collection of skins.

Availability

Availability

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop from Battle-Scarred has the cheapest option, costing in a range from $0.01 to $1.31. It is very available because it has been featured in several markets. Actually, the Dirt Drop has about 4.4 million units floating in public CS2 inventories and becomes one of the most sought-after options among enthusiasts.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Battle-Scarred is in the range between 0.06 and 0.80, meaning that players can get this skin in any exterior for certain. Moreover, collectors will also be able to find each exterior in the version of the Souvenir Dirt Drop.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Skin MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) has a community sentiment as good as 4.4 out of 5-star rating and over 4.1K votes at addskins.gg and its ownership is dispersed between the most famous CS2 players all over the world such as fnx, olofmeister, dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

This battle-scarred MP5-SD | Dirt Drop features a "Spray-Paint" style with various stencil patterns applied in several layers of paint. The dominant gray hue gives it a grimy and weathered look, while the pattern index increases the appearance of the Dirt Drop finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 0.013 (17.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.009 (-20.61%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.01 (-5.45%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.019 (70.91%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.