MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)

4.4 4119 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.002
+22.22%
Last month
$ 0.003
+37.5%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.009
-22.62%
In a quarter
$ 0.008
-30.09%
In half a year
$ 0.01
-17.85%
In a year
$ 0.018
+52.5%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
9% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
16889 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop inspecting MP5-SD | Dirt Drop reloading MP5-SD | Dirt Drop holding MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-1 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-2 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.011
  • 24h price change: 10.0%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.009
  • 7 days high: $ 5 234
  • 7 days price change: 22.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.008
  • 30 days high: $ 5 234
  • 30 days price change: 37.5%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.006
  • 90 days high: $ 5 234
  • Year low: $ 0.003
  • Year high: $ 5 234
  • All time low: $ 0.003
  • All time high: $ 5 234
  • All time max offers: 34313
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3018
  • Sales for last 7 days: 22579
  • Sales for last 30 days: 124597
  • Sales for last 90 days: 274922
  • All time sales: 792933
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 1.64
  • Volatility: 16.51%
  • Liquidity: 7.19%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.009
  • Price forecast change in a month: -22.62%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.008
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -30.09%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.01
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -17.85%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.018
  • Price forecast change in a year: 52.5%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.017
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.014
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.014
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.013
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.001
-7.14%
Result
👎 Fail
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.017
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.014
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.014
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.008
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.008
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.006
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.013
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.001
-7.14%
Result
👎 Fail
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.001
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.024
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
9%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 202%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 151%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 130%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
144 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
100 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
420 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
168 offers on 9 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 194%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 134%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.58
65%
From last month
259 offers on 7 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 138%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
154 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 125%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.43
35%
From last month
16 offers on 6 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 34%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop is one of the highly saught SMGs, versatile, and huge in the fields. This variant has been affixed with an integrated silencer that assuredly kills with deadly precision while remaining undetected. The dark base of this gun was over-sprayed with black streaks, giving the gun an extra rugged and intimidating look.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop entered the CS2 world on September 3rd, 2018. This rare skin could be acquired through the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Packages, which came with the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, washing the community with waves of competitive hype.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop can be obtained by opening any of the seven cases that contain it, among them the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package containers. It is further part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, making it a really exclusive and truly rare release.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) holds one of the top places in average skin popularity, securing around 75% and positioning it as part of the top 25% of the most sought-after skins. Such a conclusion can be made based on the analysis of its daily sales volume and market price, which is showing quite a high demand and value of this skin.

Rarity

Rarity

There are 237 SMG skins in CS2, and the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop is one of them. Its in-game rarity, Consumer Grade, means this skin can be quite common during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop, Field-Tested, is an affordable skin, as its price usually ranges between $0.01 and $1.31. For now, it is pretty easy to get because the skin is available in several markets, and that fact makes it highly accessible to players. Besides, there are up to 4.4 million units of the Dirt Drop, which are available in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop in Field-Tested condition ranges between 0.06 and 0.80, which makes it available in all the exteriors. Additionally, each of the aforementioned exterior versions can be obtained with a Souvenir tag by collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Dirt Drop MP5-SD has positive community sentiments due to its ability to attract an impressive average vote of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. This is one skin that is popular in terms of ownership across professional CS2 players like fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin is executed in "Spray-Paint" style. This version of MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) from CS2 has its particular finish. It has various layers of spray paint applied over stencil patterns in several hues of gray. Dirt Drop looks different depending on its pattern index, so it's unique and natural.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.009 (-22.62%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.008 (-30.09%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.01 (-17.85%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.018 (52.5%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.