MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear)

4.4 4293 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.01
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.018
-8.5%
In a quarter
$ 0.018
-12.0%
In half a year
$ 0.022
+10.5%
In a year
$ 0.043
+113.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2255 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
816 offers
from $ 0.02
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
156 offers
from $ 0.027
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
10 offers
from $ 0.037
Skinport
Skinport
385 offers
from $ 0.04
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
16 offers
from $ 0.04
Steam
Steam
828 offers
from $ 0.05
Bitskins
Bitskins
41 offers
from $ 0.15
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 0.3
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop inspecting MP5-SD | Dirt Drop reloading MP5-SD | Dirt Drop holding MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-1 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-2 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.02
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 10 000
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.01
  • 30 days high: $ 10 000
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.009
  • 90 days high: $ 10 000
  • Year low: $ 0.007
  • Year high: $ 10 000
  • All time low: $ 0.006
  • All time high: $ 10 000
  • All time max offers: 5767
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2104
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7884
  • Sales for last 30 days: 37867
  • Sales for last 90 days: 86118
  • All time sales: 246798
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.52
  • Volatility: 12.44%
  • Liquidity: 12.4%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.018
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.018
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.022
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.5%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.043
  • Price forecast change in a year: 113.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.018
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.018
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.012
63.04%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.018
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.018
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.016
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.012
63.04%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.01
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.016
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.018
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.019
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.012
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.028
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 202%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 151%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 130%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
144 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
100 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
420 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
168 offers on 9 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
94 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 194%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 134%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.58
65%
From last month
259 offers on 7 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 138%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
154 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 125%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.43
35%
From last month
16 offers on 6 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 34%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop features an inbuilt silencer for an already formidable sub-machine gun. This skin makes the gun look dirty with black streaks sprayed over a dark base, reminding that dirt may not seem harmless until it proves otherwise. The MP5-SD continues to be unmatched for its versatility and overall usage.

History

History

First appearing on September 3rd, 2018, in Competitive CS2 in the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update, the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop was a limited edition released skin. Available only in the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package, it gives this popular submachine gun a grittier and weathered look.

Origin

Origin

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop-Minimal Wear This is one of the most wanted skins in CS: GO. It opens from one of the seven containers, which include the Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, the Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and the Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Besides, it's included in the limited and extremely rare 2018 Inferno Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Minimal Wear is highly popular in the CS2 community with a popularity of 75%, hence making it sit at 25% percentile, making it one of the most in-demand items. Its high level of popularity results from analyzing the volume of sales made every day and current market price; hence, it's something that would be liked by the community.

Rarity

Rarity

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop skins - Minimal Wear is one of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. The skin has Consumer Grade rarity, which makes it fairly common and thus rather often seen in plays.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) Pretty cheap skin was possible to buy for $0.01-1.31, so many players could allow this for themselves. It explains such popularity when it is on sale almost in every market and there are about 4,400,000 units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

For the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop in Minimal Wear, the float value lies in the field range of 0.06-0.80. Besides, players can also find Souvenir versions of the Dirt Drop in all exteriors for an extra level of collectability.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop Minimal Wear has seen a huge hype from the community, which is reflected in its average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, standing over 4.1K votes on addskins.gg. It is owned by well-known professional CS2 players like fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh, which completes the popularity check boxes.

Finish style

Finish style

This is a "Spray-Paint" style MP5-SD with the Dirt Drop finish. The pattern consists of many shades of gray, and a stencil is accurately applied to create it. The pattern's index provides an unrivaled touch to this uncommonly striking finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.018 (-8.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.018 (-12.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.022 (10.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.043 (113.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.