MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn)

4.4 4238 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.001
+11.11%
Last month
$ 0.005
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.01
-36.88%
In a quarter
$ 0.01
-37.52%
In half a year
$ 0.012
-23.12%
In a year
$ 0.023
+41.88%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2218 offers on 6 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
ShadowPay
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3 offers
from $ 0.01
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 0.016
Skinport
Skinport
921 offers
from $ 0.02
White.Market
White.Market
34 offers
from $ 0.02
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 0.022
Steam
Steam
1246 offers
from $ 0.04
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Dirt Drop inspecting MP5-SD | Dirt Drop reloading MP5-SD | Dirt Drop holding MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-1 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-2 MP5-SD | Dirt Drop pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.01
  • 7 days low: $ 0.009
  • 7 days high: $ 1.92
  • 7 days price change: 11.11%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.005
  • 30 days high: $ 1.94
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.005
  • 90 days high: $ 14.9
  • Year low: $ 0.005
  • Year high: $ 99.81
  • All time low: $ 0.005
  • All time high: $ 99.81
  • All time max offers: 4906
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 384
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3360
  • Sales for last 30 days: 19581
  • Sales for last 90 days: 40898
  • All time sales: 115459
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 2.64
  • Volatility: 16.09%
  • Liquidity: 7.29%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.01
  • Price forecast change in a month: -36.88%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.01
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -37.52%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.012
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -23.12%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.023
  • Price forecast change in a year: 41.88%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.015
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.011
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.008
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.003
-27.27%
Result
👎 Fail
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.013
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.013
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.015
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.011
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.007
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.009
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.008
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.003
-27.27%
Result
👎 Fail
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.013
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.013
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.011
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.017
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.003
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.024
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
159 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
67%
From last month
315 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop is perhaps one of the most popular variants of the legendary MP5, because of how versatile it is and in what many spectrums it sees use-a demolitions man's go-to tool all the way to covert ops, including an integrated silencer, making what was an already lethal firearm nearly silent. This dark base is accented with a series of black streaks, which gives it that rugged battle-worn look that makes it even more desirable.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop first appeared in CS2 on September 3rd, 2018, when it was released as part of the Paris 2023 Inferno Souvenir Package. This skin showed that it was well-worn, revealing actual battle scars and roughness from what the weapon had endured. It was released alongside the "FACEIT 2018 – Ways to Watch" update.

Origin

Origin

This worn-out MP5-SD | Dirt Drop could be opened from different cases, including Antwerp 2022 Inferno Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package, and Katowice 2019 Inferno Souvenir Package. Moreover, this skin forms part of The 2018 Inferno Collection, which also speaks to its great rarity and makes it even more desirable among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

Having a fantastic popularity among items in the CS2 community, at 75%, MP5-SD | Dirt Drop belongs to the category of well-worn items. This is determined by the item's volume of sales on a daily basis and its current market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Dirt Drop, Well-Worn is just one out of 237 other SMG skins existing in CS2. This particular skin has a Consumer Grade rarity, which, for some, is common and players can often see in the game.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) - this is a pretty inexpensive skin. Depending on its float value, it can cost anywhere from $0.01 to $1.31. This skin is, therefore, one of the most accessible, as - with its high availability in many markets - it is very extensively used by CS: GO players. Nowadays, about 4.4 million units of the 'Dirt Drop' skin are in public CS: GO inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for this skin ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which means it will be available in all exteriors to show its worn skin in CS2. Moreover, for each exterior of the skin, collectors may find a souvenir version of the Dirt Drop skin, which adds to its exclusivity and makes it more highly desired.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) has always been loved in the community, getting more than 4.1K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 of 5-star ratings. It's not just popular among the community; this skin was also bought by professional CS: GO players fnx, olofmeister, and dupreeh for their in-game inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

Externals MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn): This skin features a complicated "Spray-Paint" pattern with layered paint carefully applied by means of stenciling. Most of the gray hues featured in this skin make it look worn while a pattern index helps add variation to the overall appearance featured on the Dirt Drop finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Dirt Drop (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.01 (-36.88%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.01 (-37.52%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.012 (-23.12%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.023 (41.88%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.