MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)

4.8 1003 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.1
+4.85%
Last month
$ 0.82
+61.19%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.23
+2.29%
In a quarter
$ 1.89
-13.3%
In half a year
$ 2.21
+1.38%
In a year
$ 3.18
+45.87%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
327 offers on 11 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Waxpeer
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21 offers
from $ 2.3
White.Market
White.Market
15 offers
from $ 2.3
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
35 offers
from $ 2.35
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
27 offers
from $ 2.45
Steam
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120 offers
from $ 2.99
CSGOEmpire
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1 offers
from $ 4.87
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 10
Bitskins
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1 offers
from $ 13
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Kitbash inspecting MP5-SD | Kitbash reloading MP5-SD | Kitbash holding MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-1 MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-2 MP5-SD | Kitbash pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.16
  • 7 days low: $ 2.06
  • 7 days high: $ 57.9
  • 7 days price change: 4.85%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.34
  • 30 days high: $ 248
  • 30 days price change: 61.19%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.12
  • 90 days high: $ 248
  • Year low: $ 0.76
  • Year high: $ 248
  • All time low: $ 0.76
  • All time high: $ 248
  • All time max offers: 1320
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 90
  • Sales for last 7 days: 600
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2545
  • Sales for last 90 days: 7008
  • All time sales: 19919
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.1687
  • Volatility: 11.44%
  • Liquidity: 9.59%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.23
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.29%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.89
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -13.3%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 2.21
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 1.38%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 3.18
  • Price forecast change in a year: 45.87%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.32
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.4
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.67
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.85
50.90%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.32
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.15
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.21
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.23
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.4
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.18
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.55
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.95
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.67
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.67
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.85
50.90%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.85
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.67
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
142 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
423 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
95 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
66%
From last month
317 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
147 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

History

History

The MP5-SD | Kitbash first appeared in CS2 on August 6th, 2020, included in the Fracture Case update. SA_22 is a very talented community artist, and Kitbash literally flew to the top of the most wanted skins because of its richly detailed design and striking color scheme.

Origin

Origin

The Factory New MP5-SD | Kitbash is obtained by opening a container for a Fracture Case within CS2. This is one of the special skins in making The Fracture Collection, as it features intricate design and craftsmanship.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) skin is among the most popular in the CS2 gaming community, amassing about 90% in ratings of its popularity. As a result of this skin's sleek design and high-quality condition, gamers seek it much, hence its high trading volume and value.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Kitbash belongs to a collection of 237 other skins for SMG and holds a rather unpopular position in CS2. Its rarity classification is Restricted, so the Kitbash is considered to have a relatively rare drop, estimated at 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Kitbash Factory New is an extremely affordable skin for CS2 players. Prices can fluctuate anywhere between $0.22 to $2.47. It is also widely available on the various markets, which makes acquiring it really easy. To add to that, up until today, there are as many as 1.2 million units of the Kitbash skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float value for MP5-SD | Kitbash ranges from 0.00 to 0.80. Therefore, this skin would come in each possible exterior so that players can enjoy it. Moreover, the StatTrak versions of Kitbash available in each exterior further add to the prestige of this unique weapon skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Kitbash has seen extensive community support, with over 1,000 votes on addskins.gg and a stellar average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further highlighted by the fact that it is in the ownership of two popular professional CS2 players: fnx and olofmeister. That only adds to its allure for both the fans and the collectors.

Finish style

Finish style

MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) features a "Gunsmith" style appealingly made by a stimulating combination of patina with custom paint techniques. Kitbash is an inspiration for CS2 players whatever may be the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2.23 (2.29%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.89 (-13.3%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 2.21 (1.38%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 3.18 (45.87%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players