MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New)

4.4 607091 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.15
+28.3%
Last month
$ 0.34
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.56
-17.65%
In a quarter
$ 0.422
-37.97%
In half a year
$ 0.454
-33.26%
In a year
$ 0.71
+4.41%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
1% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
415 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Liquidation inspecting MP5-SD | Liquidation reloading MP5-SD | Liquidation holding MP5-SD | Liquidation pose-1 MP5-SD | Liquidation pose-2 MP5-SD | Liquidation pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.68
  • 24h price change: 1.49%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.53
  • 7 days high: $ 22.25
  • 7 days price change: 28.3%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.34
  • 30 days high: $ 135
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.18
  • 90 days high: $ 165
  • Year low: $ 0.16
  • Year high: $ 200
  • All time low: $ 0.16
  • All time high: $ 200
  • All time max offers: 881
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 101
  • Sales for last 7 days: 811
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3678
  • Sales for last 90 days: 9848
  • All time sales: 28726
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -1.46
  • Volatility: 8.6%
  • Liquidity: 15.4%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.56
  • Price forecast change in a month: -17.65%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.422
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -37.97%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.454
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -33.26%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.71
  • Price forecast change in a year: 4.41%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.22
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-18.18%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.49
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
📉 Sell
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.253
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.22
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.19
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-18.18%
Result
👎 Fail
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.46
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.56
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.53
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.49
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.67
Action
📉 Sell
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.04
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.22
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
1%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
139 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
97 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
403 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
149 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.74
68%
From last month
311 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.71
33%
From last month
143 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
36 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Although the MP5-SD | Liquidation Factory New looks as timeless in every fashion as the MP5 with its built-in silencer for stealthy operations, it also warrants a design with a dark base and precisely selected red and blue accents that give an impression of an ethereal glow when exposed to ambient light.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Liquidation first appeared in CS2 six months ago, on February 9th of 2023, when it was presented as part of the new skins included in the Revolution Case. The skin immediately became a favorite of the players due to its sleek, avant-garde look and feel; it was one of the hottest items on the CS2 marketplace after its creation by the very talented community artist Mei.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Liquidation Factory New is one of the rarest skins. Opening the container Revolution Case will grant it to you. It also comes in the Collection Revolution, which is exclusive. The collection houses a wide variety of very stylish and highly popular weapon finishes.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Liquidation Factory New is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with the popularity rating being of 85%. It belongs to the top 15% most popular items in the universe of CS2, considering daily sales volume and price on Steam Market.

Rarity

Rarity

MP5-SD | Liquidation Factory New The MP5-SD | Liquidation Factory New is a skin from The Gamma Exposed Collection, part of the CS2 Collection. It is one of 237 SMG skins. The MP5-SD | Liquidation has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it relatively common. The estimated drop chance is 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New) is pretty cheap, the prices start from $0.05-1.77, thus this is for the budget of most CS2 enthusiasts. Also this is very available skin since it can be acquired via different markets and there is huge amount of 304.4K units available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The MP5-SD | Liquidation has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 1.00, which means that it is available in all possible exterior options when the condition is Factory New. Moreover, for collectors, there is a version of this skin with StatTrak in every exterior option.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the MP5-SD | Liquidation-Factory New in CS2 is very positive, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars given over 607 votes on addskins.gg. Still supporting the popularity, this skin belongs to the professional CS2 player snax, so it's wanted by skilled gamers.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MP5-SD features a "Liquidation" finish, truly sleek and polished in nature. The dominant blue tint bathes the entire weapon while the Liquidation finish for all pattern indexes is so consistent, forming a stunningly uniform look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Liquidation (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.56 (-17.65%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.422 (-37.97%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.454 (-33.26%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.71 (4.41%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players