MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New)

4.6 1143 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+0.64%
Last month
$ 1.25
+18.83%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.86
-0.3802%
In a quarter
$ 7.64
-3.17%
In half a year
$ 8.3
+5.2%
In a year
$ 13.96
+76.93%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
61 offers on 11 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
6 offers
from $ 7.89
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 9.12
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 9.88
Steam
Steam
21 offers
from $ 9.89
Bitskins
Bitskins
4 offers
from $ 10.08
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
3 offers
from $ 10.62
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
3 offers
from $ 15.97
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 16.83
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 17.55
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 17.55
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 18.05
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Nitro inspecting MP5-SD | Nitro reloading MP5-SD | Nitro holding MP5-SD | Nitro pose-1 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-2 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.89
  • 24h price change: 0.2541%
  • 7 days low: $ 7.84
  • 7 days high: $ 46.83
  • 7 days price change: 0.64%
  • 30 days low: $ 6.64
  • 30 days high: $ 93.06
  • 30 days price change: 18.83%
  • 90 days low: $ 6.64
  • 90 days high: $ 93.06
  • Year low: $ 5.28
  • Year high: $ 4 268
  • All time low: $ 5.28
  • All time high: $ 4 268
  • All time max offers: 95
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 18
  • Sales for last 30 days: 74
  • Sales for last 90 days: 193
  • All time sales: 542
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 2.16
  • Volatility: 14.83%
  • Liquidity: 9.67%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.86
  • Price forecast change in a month: -0.3802%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.64
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.17%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.3
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 5.2%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.96
  • Price forecast change in a year: 76.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6.65
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.88
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 8.18
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.18
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.65
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.67
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.88
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 8.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.48
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.93
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.12
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.12
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 9.12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 8.18
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.18
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 9.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.66
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.85
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8.18
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
139 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
97 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
403 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
149 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.74
68%
From last month
311 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.71
33%
From last month
143 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
36 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD is famous for its great versatility and wide popularity. It features an integrated silencer, which turns an already dangerous weapon into a near silent killer. Sleek in design, it has been spray painted in striking black and tangerine orange, showing off an expression in style as well.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Nitro was presented to the world of CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, when the long-awaited update called "Operation Broken Fang" took place. This darkly sleek submachine gun immediately became a favorite among players with its Factory New finish that supplied sophistication to this already potent in-game performer.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Nitro is among the most stylishly sleek skins for submachine guns in the game. A rare skin, MP5-SD | Nitro cannot be opened through containers since it is only part of the Control Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Nitro Factory New is one of the most in-demand items within CS2, boasting an incredible popularity rating at 85%. It's ranked within the top 15% most wanted items within the game, determined through its continued high sales volume, with many sales selling at a premium.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nitro is one of 237 other SMG skins in CS2, so this puts it into a relatively large pool. In fact, its rarity being Industrial Grade means it's commonly found; hence, too often seen in the game.

Availability

Availability

The MP5-SD | Nitro Factory New skin is rather budget-friendly in CS2. The price ranges from $0.67 to $7.01. Being quite available, as this skin can be met on many markets, it is one of the desirable skins due to its availability and with about 401.5K units that exist in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Since the float value of this MP5-SD | Nitro in Factory New condition ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, players can get this skin in all sorts of wear. However, collector investors should remember that StatTrak and Souvenir versions are not available for this particular skin - the Nitro.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Nitro has been discussed a lot in the community: it received more than 1K votes on addskins.gg and has an average rating of 4.6/5 star ratings. It's so popular that even professional CS2 players like dupreeh, f0rest, and tarik have this skin in their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MP5-SD | Nitro has a "Solid Color" style with sleek and polished Nitro finish. The weapon holds an attractive combination of brown and black; so each one of the individual components was painted as painstakingly as possible with up to four unique colors before being reassembled into this eye-catching and realistic look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 7.86 (-0.3802%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 7.64 (-3.17%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.3 (5.2%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.96 (76.93%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.