MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear)

4.6 1149 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.46
+13.37%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.79
+20.35%
In a quarter
$ 4.63
+16.33%
In half a year
$ 4.66
+17.09%
In a year
$ 4.88
+22.61%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
77% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
220 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Nitro inspecting MP5-SD | Nitro reloading MP5-SD | Nitro holding MP5-SD | Nitro pose-1 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-2 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.9
  • 7 days low: $ 3.9
  • 7 days high: $ 21.99
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.44
  • 30 days high: $ 41.06
  • 30 days price change: 13.37%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.44
  • 90 days high: $ 41.06
  • Year low: $ 3.04
  • Year high: $ 842
  • All time low: $ 1.61
  • All time high: $ 842
  • All time max offers: 340
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 13
  • Sales for last 7 days: 127
  • Sales for last 30 days: 449
  • Sales for last 90 days: 981
  • All time sales: 2726
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.368
  • Volatility: 15.19%
  • Liquidity: 11.81%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.79
  • Price forecast change in a month: 20.35%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.63
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 16.33%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.66
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 17.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 4.88
  • Price forecast change in a year: 22.61%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.76
Action
✋ Hold
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.88
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.26
6.70%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.51
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.44
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.56
45.35%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.74
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.96
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.76
Action
✋ Hold
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.88
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.88
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.26
6.70%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.51
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.56
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.63
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.3
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.44
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.56
45.35%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.82
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 7.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
161 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.71
67%
From last month
316 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

The MP5-SD | Nitro is known for its versatility factor, which is unprecedented in the history of firearms, and widely popular with users. It has an integrated silencer that makes an already formidable weapon nearly silent. Sleekly designed, its individually painted parts are a striking combination of black and tangerine orange, serving as a statement piece for those who excel in their craft but understand the importance of maintaining a low profile.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Nitro was released to CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, as part of the "Operation Broken Fang" update. It brought a whole new explosive flair to the game. Since its release, it has been one of the more highly wanted skins in-game for its minimal wear condition and its nitrous oxide-themed artwork.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Nitro is a slick and deadly submachine gun, but it's not available through normal container openings. Instead, the highly-coveted skin is contained only within the extremely limited Control Collection, lending an air of rarity and exclusivity to the fortunate ones able to wield it.

Popularity

Popularity

MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear) is one of the most wanted skins, enjoying an unprecedentedly high popularity rate of 85% within the CS2 community. This puts it within the top 15% of items in the entire game based on consistency in high volume sales relative to its rather high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear) is among the many skins available for SMG in CS2. Its Industrial Grade rarity actually makes it one of the most common in the game and thus quite easy to get for players.

Availability

Availability

MP5-SD | Nitro Minimal Wear is a relatively cheap skin, and its prices start at $0.67, peaking at $7.01. It is available in many markets, which explains why it is pretty easy for any player to get. Currently, there are about 401.5K units of the Nitro in public CS2 inventories, which is quite a large number.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP5-SD | Nitro in Minimal Wear condition ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, so this skin is available in all exteriors. Unfortunately, there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin in existence.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Nitro has gained quite an audience in the CS2 world, with a stellar rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars and over 1K votes on addskins.gg. If the trend is any indication, this skin is owned by renowned professional players like dupreeh, f0rest, and tarik, which goes to show just how sought-after and lusted-after this particular firearm skin really is.

Finish style

Finish style

This MP5-SD | Nitro Minimal Wear has a "Solid Color" style with Nitro. All weapon parts are painted with four different colors at a masterful level and then assembled. The range of brown and black hues gives this gun a very sleek, modern look. At the same time, the Nitro finish isn't affected by the pattern index, so it looks consistent and neat.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 4.79 (20.35%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.63 (16.33%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4.66 (17.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 4.88 (22.61%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.