MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn)

4.6 1008 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.34
+9.77%
Last month
$ 0.76
+24.84%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.98
-23.59%
In a quarter
$ 3.78
-3.08%
In half a year
$ 3.62
-7.18%
In a year
$ 7.49
+92.05%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
147 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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10 offers
from $ 3.82
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 3.91
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
8 offers
from $ 3.93
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
10 offers
from $ 4.02
Steam
Steam
44 offers
from $ 4.09
Skinport
Skinport
19 offers
from $ 4.68
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
6 offers
from $ 4.84
Bitskins
Bitskins
35 offers
from $ 4.96
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
12 offers
from $ 5.2
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 6.02
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Nitro inspecting MP5-SD | Nitro reloading MP5-SD | Nitro holding MP5-SD | Nitro pose-1 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-2 MP5-SD | Nitro pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.82
  • 7 days low: $ 3.48
  • 7 days high: $ 23.31
  • 7 days price change: 9.77%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.06
  • 30 days high: $ 40.92
  • 30 days price change: 24.84%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.06
  • 90 days high: $ 40.92
  • Year low: $ 2.58
  • Year high: $ 818
  • All time low: $ 2.26
  • All time high: $ 818
  • All time max offers: 186
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 40
  • Sales for last 30 days: 215
  • Sales for last 90 days: 380
  • All time sales: 1022
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.68
  • Volatility: 26.42%
  • Liquidity: 5.88%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.98
  • Price forecast change in a month: -23.59%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.78
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.08%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.62
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -7.18%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7.49
  • Price forecast change in a year: 92.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.89
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.89
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.89
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.9
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 4.92
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.99
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.96
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.37
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.46
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.4
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.49
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.59
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.95
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.57
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.89
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Battle-Scarred
4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
149 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
427 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
159 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
114 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.7
67%
From last month
315 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
150 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
37 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Renowned for its adaptability and usage, the MP5-SD | Nitro features an integrated suppressor that turns this into a very effective and surreptitious submachine gun. Sleek black and tangerine orange accents over a spray paint finish give the gun a boldness, making it a keeper of performance and style.

History

History

MP5-SD | Nitro dropped on the day of December 3rd, 2020, together with the highly expected "Operation Broken Fang" update. It brought a fresh, visually striking new look to this popular MP5-SD submachine gun. It has been two years since this worn-out variant of MP5-SD | Nitro came out, but it is still well-sought by collectors and players.

Origin

Origin

The MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn) is a Covert skin, and thus is not available through container drops. The skin is from the Control Collection. Therefore, the only ways to get this skin are to buy or trade for it with other players.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn) has a high popularity of about 85% of CS2 players interested in this particular skin. This skin enjoys one of the highest sales volumes and market values, which positions it in the top 15% of items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

There are 237 other SMG skins in CS2 and the MP5-SD | Nitro is one of them. This skin belongs to the Industrial Grade, meaning the skin condition is somewhat common and can be frequently seen throughout gameplay.

Availability

Availability

CS2 skin MP5-SD | Nitro can be bought at pretty cheap prices, starting at $0.67 and moving up to $7.01. This skin isn't hard to get your hands on since it's found across many markets, and a sufficient number of 401.5K circulates among the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Having the CS2 MP5-SD | Nitro in Well-Worn condition is between 0.06 and 0.80 of the float value; this skin has to be available in all wear conditions. There are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions of Nitro, though.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP5-SD | Nitro attracted a lot of attention and appreciation in the CS2 community. With over 1K votes on addskins.gg, it received an enormous average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends even to professional players, with dupreeh, f0rest, and tarik adding this skin to their collections.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn MP5-SD | Nitro has a "Solid Color" finish, meaning each part of the item is individually painted with up to four uniquely distinct shades before assembly. The skin features a good mix of brown and black, giving a really smooth and classy look. The pattern index does not affect the look of the Nitro finish on the weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Nitro (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 2.98 (-23.59%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.78 (-3.08%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.62 (-7.18%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7.49 (92.05%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.