MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)

4.9 2934 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.69
+5.29%
Last month
$ 3.88
+39.39%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 13.84
-9.95%
In a quarter
$ 12.81
-16.66%
In half a year
$ 15.17
-1.3%
In a year
$ 24.51
+59.47%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
69% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
122 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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CSGO.COM
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16 offers
from $ 18.11
Waxpeer
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13 offers
from $ 18.46
Bitskins
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3 offers
from $ 29.99
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Phosphor inspecting MP5-SD | Phosphor reloading MP5-SD | Phosphor holding MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-1 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-2 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 13.73
  • 7 days low: $ 13.04
  • 7 days high: $ 430
  • 7 days price change: 5.29%
  • 30 days low: $ 9.85
  • 30 days high: $ 430
  • 30 days price change: 39.39%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.67
  • 90 days high: $ 430
  • Year low: $ 7.72
  • Year high: $ 1 805
  • All time low: $ 6.12
  • All time high: $ 1 805
  • All time max offers: 200
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 17
  • Sales for last 7 days: 154
  • Sales for last 30 days: 584
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1180
  • All time sales: 3297
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 1.03
  • Volatility: 17.0%
  • Liquidity: 11.01%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 13.84
  • Price forecast change in a month: -9.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 12.81
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -16.66%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 15.17
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -1.3%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 24.51
  • Price forecast change in a year: 59.47%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 11.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 10.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.11
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 16.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.33
62.61%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.04
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 11.48
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 10.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.11
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 9.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 9.25
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 9.37
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.67
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.5
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 11.63
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 12.5
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 14.13
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.03
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 6.33
62.61%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 13.04
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.04
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 15.36
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 6.33
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 23.15
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
69%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
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4.7 3124
In a year 202%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 151%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 130%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
142 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
99 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
422 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
164 offers on 9 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
94 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 194%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 134%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.61
65%
From last month
259 offers on 7 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 138%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.65
31%
From last month
153 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.5
35%
From last month
19 offers on 6 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 34%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Go for the MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New). Sleek and with bright colors, this could be any operator's showstopper into the battlefield. With an integrated silencer, this variant not only offers deadly accuracy but also allows stealth and precision for covert ops and surprise attacks.

History

History

The MP5-SD | Phosphor was introduced to CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when it was featured in the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This slick skin was created by the amazing community designer "SA_22" and could be found in the Danger Zone Case.

Origin

Origin

MP5-SD | Phosphor Skin is an action-capable Factory New that can be opened from an opened Danger Zone Case container with various weapon skins. The Danger Zone Collection contains a series of visually striking, popularly demanded designs only found within Danger Zone cases.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Phosphor Factory New is one of the most wanted skins in all of CS2. It has a popularity rating of 95%, and this can be explained by its high demand, which has always allowed the skin to have a rather high price.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Phosphor is one out of 237 other SMG skins. However, the rarity makes it very special. It is classified as a very rare drop and has an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%, which makes getting a Factory New MP5-SD | Phosphor truly exceptional in CS2.

Availability

Availability

Well, the MP5-SD | Phosphor Factory New skin is pretty cheap and has price brackets ranging from $2.55 to $17.26. The Phosphor skin is very obtainable since it is highly available in many markets. In fact, there are currently 386.2K units of Phosphor skin in public CS2 inventories, a fact that shows just how common this skin has proven.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP5-SD | Phosphor in Factory New is between 0.00 and 0.80, allowing players to get this skin in any exterior. Furthermore, for collectors, the StatTrak version can be found for each exterior, adding another layer of rarity and desirability to this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Skins that received the largest number of votes in the community vote on addskins.gg, such as MP5-SD | Phosphor, had an excellent average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is reinforced by ownership from professional CS2 players like flusha, kennys, and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The MP5-SD | Phosphor Factory New in CS2 shows an "Gunsmith" pattern; that is a remarkable combination of patina with custom paint. Actually, this skin has an interesting green-blue coloration, and pattern indexes don't interfere with the Phosphor finish, which means that all variants of this skin will be identical.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Phosphor (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 13.84 (-9.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 12.81 (-16.66%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 15.17 (-1.3%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 24.51 (59.47%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.