MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)

4.9 2924 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.41
+9.34%
Last month
$ 1.57
+48.61%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.47
-6.88%
In a quarter
$ 3.77
-21.46%
In half a year
$ 4.49
-6.46%
In a year
$ 6.39
+33.12%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
69% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
48 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 4.8
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
5 offers
from $ 4.8
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 4.87
Skinport
Skinport
10 offers
from $ 5.91
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
5 offers
from $ 7.23
Steam
Steam
13 offers
from $ 7.65
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 7.92
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 9.39
White.Market
White.Market
3 offers
from $ 13.18
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 13.55
Inspect skin
MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP5-SD | Phosphor inspecting MP5-SD | Phosphor reloading MP5-SD | Phosphor holding MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-1 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-2 MP5-SD | Phosphor pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.8
  • 24h price change: 9.34%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.39
  • 7 days high: $ 30.32
  • 7 days price change: 9.34%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.23
  • 30 days high: $ 30.76
  • 30 days price change: 48.61%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.31
  • 90 days high: $ 382
  • Year low: $ 2.08
  • Year high: $ 3 057
  • All time low: $ 2.08
  • All time high: $ 3 057
  • All time max offers: 148
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 18
  • Sales for last 7 days: 102
  • Sales for last 30 days: 374
  • Sales for last 90 days: 834
  • All time sales: 2273
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.176
  • Volatility: 23.92%
  • Liquidity: 9.21%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.47
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.88%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.77
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -21.46%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.49
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -6.46%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 6.39
  • Price forecast change in a year: 33.12%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.95
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.8
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.85
21.52%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.8
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.95
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.43
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.43
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.16
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.2
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.15
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.78
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.2
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.23
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.34
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.8
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.85
21.52%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.8
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.85
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.95
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
69%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1912
3220
2516
10163
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 27
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 235
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
4.7 3169
In a year 116%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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MP5-SD
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4.7 3124
In a year 149%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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Factory New
4.7 3252
In a year 183%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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MP5-SD
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Field-Tested
4.7 3125
In a year 153%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
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MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Minimal Wear
4.7 3279
In a year 133%
MP5-SD | Acid Wash
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Acid Wash
Well-Worn
4.8 1516
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
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Agent
$ 0.62
77%
From last month
139 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1537
In a year 50%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
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Factory New
$ 4.18
49%
From last month
97 offers on 10 markets
$ 0.64
36%
From last month
403 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1621
In a year 45%
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
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Minimal Wear
$ 1.28
41%
From last month
149 offers on 10 markets
4.8 1669
MP5-SD | Agent
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Agent
Well-Worn
$ 0.81
98%
From last month
109 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497088
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
4.4 497005
In a year 191%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Battle-Scarred
4.4 497056
In a year 205%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Factory New
4.4 497101
In a year 103%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Field-Tested
$ 6.74
68%
From last month
311 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497047
In a year 145%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Minimal Wear
$ 8.71
33%
From last month
143 offers on 8 markets
4.4 497042
In a year 136%
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly
Restricted
Normal
MP5-SD
Autumn Twilly
Well-Worn
$ 7.06
35%
From last month
36 offers on 7 markets
4.8 967033
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
4.8 967136
In half a year 55%
MP5-SD | Bamboo Garden
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP5-SD
Bamboo Garden
Battle-Scarred

Description

Get ready to run circles around the enemy with this showstopping MP5-SD | Phosphor. This gun's unique paint job adds flair to the weapon, while an integrated silencer keeps it dead quiet and deadly with its silence capabilities.

History

History

MP5-SD | Phosphor was released on December 6, 2018, in the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update and the Danger Zone Case. This colorful skin was designed by a talented community designer "SA_22". Later it turned into a favorite, well-worn but flashy choice for players seeking to style their MP5-SDs.

Origin

Origin

The well-worn MP5-SD | Phosphor is indeed one of the popular skins that players can obtain through opening up a Danger Zone Case, the rarity container that only comes with playing the game. It is part of the highly prestigious Danger Zone Collection, making any player sleeker and rarer in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP5-SD | Phosphor is a well-worn version and currently is one of the most wanted items in CS2, having 95% popularity. This is reflected in the continually high daily volume of the item and the significant price premium that it sells for on the market, marking it as one of the rarest in-game items.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) is a member of an extremely big skin family, counting 237 other SMG skins, which makes this skin relatively rare in CS2. Being a Classified skin, the Phosphor skin drops rather rarely since its estimated drop chance comes up to 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

The MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) for $2.55-$17.26 is the cheapest skin in this assortment. This skin is relatively easy to get, since it can be bought from any market and there are already 386.2K units of the Phosphor skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float Range: The float range for CS2's MP5-SD | Phosphor(Well-Worn) lies in the range of 0.38-0.45. In this skin, there is a slight wear and tear that is prominently visible because of the scratching of parts and wear marks. A StatTrak version is also available in this skin, which is Well-Worn.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Backed extravagantly by the community, the MP5-SD | Phosphor has an impressive 2.9K votes at addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 of 5 stars. The desirability is also justified by the fact that well-known CS2 players like flusha, kennys, and s1mple own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn MP5-SD | Phosphor features a "Gunsmith" finish, enticingly mixing the patina with custom paint styles. The striking color of this skin in green and blue adds to this vibrant look, since the pattern indexes do not change the mesmerizing Phosphor finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Phosphor (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 4.47 (-6.88%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.77 (-21.46%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.49 (-6.46%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.39 (33.12%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.