MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)

4.8 1908 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.13
+25%
Last month
$ 0.35
+117%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.481
-26.03%
In a quarter
$ 0.407
-37.37%
In half a year
$ 0.485
-25.38%
In a year
$ 0.75
+15.38%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
174 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 0.72
ShadowPay
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from $ 0.74
CSGO.COM
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5 offers
from $ 0.8
Waxpeer
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1 offers
from $ 0.93
Skinport
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41 offers
from $ 1.02
Steam
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59 offers
from $ 1.05
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 7
Inspect skin
MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Black Sand inspecting MP9 | Black Sand reloading MP9 | Black Sand holding MP9 | Black Sand pose-1 MP9 | Black Sand pose-2 MP9 | Black Sand pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.65
  • 7 days low: $ 0.52
  • 7 days high: $ 22.84
  • 7 days price change: 25%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.3
  • 30 days high: $ 22.84
  • 30 days price change: 117%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.22
  • 90 days high: $ 22.84
  • Year low: $ 0.21
  • Year high: $ 150
  • All time low: $ 0.13
  • All time high: $ 150
  • All time max offers: 453
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 43
  • Sales for last 7 days: 196
  • Sales for last 30 days: 854
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1989
  • All time sales: 5965
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1637
  • Volatility: 12.99%
  • Liquidity: 11.45%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.481
  • Price forecast change in a month: -26.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.407
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -37.37%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.485
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -25.38%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.75
  • Price forecast change in a year: 15.38%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.25
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
4.00%
Result
👍 Success
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.24
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.1
41.67%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.63
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.25
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
4.00%
Result
👍 Success
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.24
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.1
41.67%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.63
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.58
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.54
Action
❌ Avoid
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 0.55
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.11
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.49
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
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MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
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4.8 1949
In half a year -39%
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
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Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
200%
From last month
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MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
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Field-Tested
$ 0.11
120%
From last month
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4.8 1825
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Black Sand
Minimal Wear
$ 0.18
50%
From last month
366 offers on 9 markets

Description

Crafted with precision in Switzerland, the MP9 | Black Sand is a cutting-edge submachine gun in high demand by private security firms for its exceptional ergonomics. The sleek design has been overtopped by a custom tan and black military camouflage pattern, truly leading the slogan, "End their campaign before it begins."

History

History

MP9 | Black Sand first dropped in CS2 on 14th February 2018. It was an addition in the Clutch Case. Then, due to its sleek black color and ornamented patterns of sand, it came into fast popularity among players and surely a well-desired MP9 skin.

Origin

Origin

The MP9 | Black Sand is one of the rare and highly valued skins for MP9 in CS2. It's possible to get when opening a Clutch Case container; sometimes, for good luck, players may well get this Factory New skin. It is also part of the collection titled The Clutch Collection, which allows users of refined taste to utilize high-stylized and dangerous weapon skins, making one's armory sleek.

Popularity

Popularity

MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is one of the most sought skins in CS: GO, with a rating of 85% popularity rating. It has always been among the top 15% popularity skins since the extraordinary sales volume at a premium price it brings every day.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Black Sand is one of the relatively common drops; it is placed amongst 237 other SMG skins. This Mil-Spec Grade skin features a drop chance estimated at 79.92%, placing it as one of the skins that can most frequently be encountered while playing CS2.

Availability

Availability

MP9 | Black Sand falls into the affordable category; the price range is from $ 0.03 to $ 0.56. Easy to obtain, as this skin is widely represented in stock in different markets. Moreover, the public CS: GO inventories contain quite a large amount of 3.8 m units of this Black Sand skin.

Versions

Versions

Because the float range in CS2 goes from 0.00 to 1.00, that would mean an MP9 | Black Sand Factory New exists and, with that, every exterior variation does too. Every variation of exterior skin is obtainable by collectors for the StatTrak Black Sand version.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP9 | Black Sand was highly acclaimed amongst the CS2 community, having over 1.8K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. It is further emphasized by the fact that this skin is proudly owned by two of the more popular professionals, Guardian and Snax, making it one of the most envied skins in the competitive scene.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MP9 features an elegant and unique "Black Sand" finish, exuding a kind of sophistication and stealth in its aesthetic. The heavy usage of black gives the weapon a seamless and smooth aesthetic feel; the lack of pattern indexes creates a consistent, unbroken texture.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.481 (-26.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.407 (-37.37%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.485 (-25.38%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.75 (15.38%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players