MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)

4.5 2961 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 127
+47.74%
Last month
$ 250
+175%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 287
-18.0%
In a quarter
$ 331
-5.43%
In half a year
$ 415
+18.57%
In a year
$ 848
+142.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
80% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
313 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Hot Rod inspecting MP9 | Hot Rod reloading MP9 | Hot Rod holding MP9 | Hot Rod pose-1 MP9 | Hot Rod pose-2 MP9 | Hot Rod pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 393
  • 24h price change: 12.29%
  • 7 days low: $ 266
  • 7 days high: $ 937
  • 7 days price change: 47.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 143
  • 30 days high: $ 1 252
  • 30 days price change: 175%
  • 90 days low: $ 143
  • 90 days high: $ 1 252
  • Year low: $ 120
  • Year high: $ 40 623
  • All time low: $ 60.98
  • All time high: $ 40 623
  • All time max offers: 728
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 31
  • Sales for last 7 days: 132
  • Sales for last 30 days: 379
  • Sales for last 90 days: 810
  • All time sales: 2037
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 3.15
  • Volatility: 29.62%
  • Liquidity: 7.12%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 287
  • Price forecast change in a month: -18.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 331
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.43%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 415
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 18.57%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 848
  • Price forecast change in a year: 142.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 242
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 242
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 433
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 191
78.85%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 412
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 242
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 242
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 241
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 254
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 235
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 231
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 213
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 254
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 346
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 433
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 191
78.85%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 412
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 412
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 364
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 347
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 400
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 260
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 291
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 191
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 654
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MP9 | Hot Rod is one of the world's most advanced submachine guns, developed by Switzerland. It is also widely popular among private security organizations due to its ergonomic design. Relatively, this submachine gun displays a sleek appearance that was captured with a chromed base coat, followed with a striking transparent red anodized effect paint that has given it a finish in sophistication with style.

History

History

MP9 | Hot Rod went live in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, as it was added to the Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package. At once, this smart-designed, smooth submachine gun turned out to be favored for its uniquely designed-from-idea notion and powerhouse of shooting.

Origin

Origin

This is a rare skin of MP9. Its name is Hot Rod, and to get this skin, one had to open up any of 13 cases with it included, such as the Atlanta 2017 Mirage Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Mirage Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Mirage Souvenir Package. It's also part of The Mirage Collection, hence even more exotic and needed.

Popularity

Popularity

MP9 | Hot Rod enjoys a massive 90% in the CS2 community, which slots it into the most wanted things in-game. This fact mirrors in its daily volume sales and premium price, putting it among the highly sought-after skins.

Rarity

Rarity

Falling into the Mil-Spec Grade, MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is a relatively common drop. As mentioned earlier, the drop chance of it is approximately 79.92%. It's one of the 237 other skins for SMGs available in CS2.

Availability

Availability

MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) A rather cheap skin is, goes for $ 43.27-$ 53.28. Currently, it's in abundant supply on multiple markets and is easily purchased. There're 27.7K units of the Hot Rod in public CS2 inventories at this very moment.

Versions

Versions

The MP9 | Hot Rod has a float value in a range from 0.00 to 0.08, making this skin absolutely clean and unblemished when it's in Factory New condition. Besides this, the collectors are allowed to get a Souvenir version of the Hot Rod in all exterior conditions to make this slick skin even more exclusive.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The overall community sentiment of the MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) in CS2 is extremely positive. This is with regard to its 4.5-star rating and over 2.8K votes recorded on addskins.gg, as well as ownership by top players in CS2 like coldzera, fer, and adren.

Finish style

Finish style

MP9 | Hot Rod Factory New have an original "Anodized" style finish in CS2, a bright reddish tint over the top of the chrome base that convincingly acts as anodizing. The Hot Rod finish doesn't change regardless of pattern indexes and is one of the most striking skins in the game.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Hot Rod (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 287 (-18.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 331 (-5.43%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 415 (18.57%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 848 (142.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.