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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Modest Threat The MP9 | Modest Threat is a sophisticated, reliable SMG built in Switzerland with a clean, ergonomic design. Private security firms love them, and the orange and black hand-painted pattern offers stylistic reflections on lethal performance. Perfect for the one who would be the last man standing in a heavy firefight.
The MP9 | Modest Threat arrived in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when it was released as part of the Danger Zone Case. The skin was designed by the very talented community designer "nozza", and one of the popular ones, searched for by players when its sleek, minimalistic design caught the attention of many.
MP9 | Modest Threat-Factory New for CS2 can be acquired through the Danger Zone Case container, which contains a chance to get different in-game weapon skins. This skin belongs to The Danger Zone Collection, which includes skins created especially for the Danger Zone game mode in CS2.
The MP9 | Modest Threat Factory New has gained quite an amount of hype from the CS2 community because it's highly in demand, holding an 85% popularity rating. This makes it one of the best 15% items currently in the game, showing how favorite and well-liked it is by gamers. Popularity is calculated by volumes of day-to-day sales and a skin price, which reflects its attraction in real markets.
The MP9 | Modest Threat is just one of the 237 other SMG skins, which makes it rather common for CS2 enthusiasts. By its Mil-Spec Grade rarity classification, the estimated drop chance for the Modest Threat skin is 79.92%, which further assures that it drops often enough.
The MP9 | Modest Threat Factory New is a cheap skin as it costs as low as $0.04 and as high as $0.57. It is also highly available due to the various markets where the skin is found for purchase. Besides, there is a substantial amount of supply, with 2.6 million units of the Modest Threat skin available in the public CS2 inventories.
The float range for the MP9 | Modest Threat Factory New is between 0.00-0.75. All exterior variations can be pulled by a player for skins. Also, for each of these exterior options, a StatTrak version of the Modest Threat skin can also be pulled by a player.
MP9 | Modest Threat has gathered a lot of positive attitude in the CS2 community: it has a rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars according to more than 3.6K votes on addskins.gg. Furthermore, it previously belonged to such popular professional players as fnx and s1mple.
This Factory New MP9 features a "Gunsmith" skin with the Modest Threat finish, combining in an eye-catching way many different patinas and custom paint styles. The leading color of this skin is an eye-catching orange tint, while the Modest Threat finish doesn't change, independent of pattern indexes.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.381 (-15.38%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.33 (-26.62%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.351 (-21.89%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.407 (-9.6%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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