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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Crafted in Switzerland, the MP9 | Modest Threat is one of the most advanced submachine guns in the world and is highly coveted by private security forces. This sleek, solid-side polymer body is painted orange and black with a masterful hand, and is ready for those looking to be the last one standing.
MP9 | Modest Threat was released on December 6th, 2018, as a part of the long-awaited "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. Designed by the very talented community artist "nozza," the skin became an instant hit among CS2 players as a very fresh and super-minimal way to sport their MP9s.
The MP9 | Modest Threat has a sleek black design with only accents of red. The skin is available when a player unlocks a Danger Zone Case container, allowing players to wield this mighty weapon on the battlefield. Due to its unique style and the touch of sophistication it gives to any player's arsenal, this skin proudly stands as one of the prized additions to The Danger Zone Collection.
The MP9 | Modest Threat has seen the popularity rating of 85%, making it one of the most popular weapons in the CS2 community, which is because of its high sales volume and competitive price that this skin normally goes for.
The MP9 | Modest Threat is one of 237 other SMG skins, hence fairly common to encounter. This Mil-Spec Grade skin of Modest Threat has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, which further helps in showing just how common this skin is within CS2.
MP9 | Modest Threat - $0.04 - $0.57 Having this price range, the MP9 | Modest Threat will be in an affordable reach for any CS2 player. This skin is really easy to get because it's available in large amounts at multiple markets. Currently, there are around 2.6 million units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.
The MP9 | Modest Threat is available in all exteriors, with float values ranging from 0.00 to 0.75, so there will be as many possibilities in condition for collectors and players to enjoy. For the enthusiasts who like to keep kill counts, StatTrak version of the Modest Threat is offered for each exterior option.
The MP9 | Modest Threat has seen very good community sentiment, which is a 4.5-star rating on addskins.gg, based on over 3.6K votes. Its popularity is further evidenced by ownership from renowned professional CS2 players fnx and s1mple, further cementing its appeal to the community.
This Field-Tested MP9 wears the "Gunsmith" finish featuring the Modest Threat design, a stunning incorporation of patina with custom paintwork. The dominant orange tint of the skin makes it feel extremely loud; the pattern indexes do nothing to deter from the unique look that is Modest Threat.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.149 (-12.29%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.139 (-18.18%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.178 (4.88%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.331 (94.82%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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