MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear)

4.5 3703 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.013
+8.84%
Last month
$ 0.03
+23.08%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.162
+1.38%
In a quarter
$ 0.159
-0.81%
In half a year
$ 0.184
+15.0%
In a year
$ 0.254
+58.63%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
55% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
519 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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ShadowPay
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26 offers
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CSGO.COM
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51 offers
from $ 0.258
Waxpeer
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16 offers
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Steam
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151 offers
from $ 0.3
Inspect skin
MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.16
  • 7 days low: $ 0.147
  • 7 days high: $ 4 985
  • 7 days price change: 8.84%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.13
  • 30 days high: $ 4 985
  • 30 days price change: 23.08%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.107
  • 90 days high: $ 4 985
  • Year low: $ 0.099
  • Year high: $ 4 985
  • All time low: $ 0.05
  • All time high: $ 4 985
  • All time max offers: 796
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 113
  • Sales for last 7 days: 884
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3644
  • Sales for last 90 days: 8791
  • All time sales: 27805
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.1
  • Volatility: 9.41%
  • Liquidity: 13.16%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.162
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.38%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.159
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -0.81%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.184
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 15.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.254
  • Price forecast change in a year: 58.63%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.13
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.13
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.129
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.001
-0.77%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.12
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
✋ Hold
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
75.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.16
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.13
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.099
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.099
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.119
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.129
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.001
-0.77%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.15
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.12
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.12
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
✋ Hold
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.09
75.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.16
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.089
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.41
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
55%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MP9 | Modest Threat is a Swiss-produced SMG, highly desired by private security firms for its ergonomic design. A highly desired SMG from Swiss production with an ergonomic design, highly sought after by private security firms. This skin has Minimal Wear, with a hand-painted orange and black pattern, which makes one not want to mess with the carrier of this in the fight to be the last one standing.

History

History

The MP9 | Modest Threat was added to CS2 on December 6th, 2018, as part of the Danger Zone Case and the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. Designed by the very talented community designer "nozza," this skin has become popular quite fast because of its sleek and minimalistic look, turning it into a highly desired option for players seeking style and dependability in-game.

Origin

Origin

The MP9 | Modest Threat has a minimal wear finish and is obtained by opening a Danger Zone Case container that holds a collection of weapon skins. The skin falls under the Danger Zone Collection and features a modestly menacing design that gives style to the MP9 submachine gun.

Popularity

Popularity

MP9 | Modest Threat- is pretty popular among CS2 players and ranks 85%. It is ranked high between the top 15% of the most demanded skins in this game. It's necessary to note that skin popularity is determined by how many units are sold daily and at what price.

Rarity

Rarity

It is joined by 237 other SMG skins in CS2, which makes the MP9 | Modest Threat rather common. It has Mil-Spec Grade rarity, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, further helping players get this skin.

Availability

Availability

MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) is a cheap skin that costs within the range of $0.04 to $0.57, hence affordable for any player. Besides, this skin is highly available because it is listed in the majority of markets and thus can be easily purchased. Moreover, there are as many as 2.6 million units of the Modest Threat in public CS2 inventories, and thus players have plenty of chances to get and play this skin.

Versions

Versions

MP9 | Modest Threat, Minimal Wear- The float value lies in between 0.07 and 0.15. There are slight abrasions and wear, but barely any scratches exist when this skin is in this condition. A version of this skin is available in all interiors, which boasts a consistent, clean look. Additionally, each exterior has a corresponding StatTrak variant available, so players can track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP9 | Modest Threat has gained much attention within the community, with over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg, at an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Moreover, this skin has been owned by two of the most popular professional CS2 players: fnx and s1mple, which further spreads the popularity into the competitive gaming circle.

Finish style

Finish style

The finish of the MP9 | Modest Threat-Minimal Wear is Gunsmith-inspired and features a tasteful blend of patina with custom paint styles. The dominant hue of this skin is an alluring orange tint, while pattern indexes do not alter the Modest Threat finish in any way.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 0.162 (1.38%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.159 (-0.81%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.184 (15.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.254 (58.63%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players