MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn)

4.5 3795 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.03
+33.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.117
-2.83%
In a quarter
$ 0.11
-8.25%
In half a year
$ 0.133
+10.92%
In a year
$ 0.24
+99.67%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
74% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
176 offers on 8 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
24 offers
from $ 0.12
Bitskins
Bitskins
50 offers
from $ 0.14
Steam
Steam
68 offers
from $ 0.19
White.Market
White.Market
8 offers
from $ 0.22
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
22 offers
from $ 0.227
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 0.37
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 0.5
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
2 offers
from $ 1.26
Inspect skin
MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn)
Gallery
MP9 | Modest Threat inspecting MP9 | Modest Threat reloading MP9 | Modest Threat holding MP9 | Modest Threat pose-1 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-2 MP9 | Modest Threat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.12
  • 7 days low: $ 0.12
  • 7 days high: $ 5
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.09
  • 30 days high: $ 5
  • 30 days price change: 33.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.09
  • 90 days high: $ 6.63
  • Year low: $ 0.007
  • Year high: $ 7.09
  • All time low: $ 0.007
  • All time high: $ 1 263
  • All time max offers: 359
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 178
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1003
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2516
  • All time sales: 8251
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 1.62
  • Volatility: 17.78%
  • Liquidity: 12.52%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.117
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.83%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.11
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.25%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.133
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 10.92%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.24
  • Price forecast change in a year: 99.67%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.1
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.1
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
30.00%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.1
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.1
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.097
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.106
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.03
30.00%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.1
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 0.11
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.03
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.2
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
74%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
3.8 2170
MP9 | Airlock
Classified
Normal
MP9
Airlock
3.8 2176
In half a year -64%
MP9 | Airlock
Classified
Normal
MP9
Airlock
Battle-Scarred
$ 31.96
135%
From last month
157 offers on 9 markets
3.8 2083
In half a year -67%
MP9 | Airlock
Classified
Normal
MP9
Airlock
Field-Tested
3.8 2151
In a quarter -44%
MP9 | Airlock
Classified
Normal
MP9
Airlock
Minimal Wear
$ 12.24
198%
From last month
144 offers on 10 markets
3.8 2174
In a quarter -62%
MP9 | Airlock
Classified
Normal
MP9
Airlock
Well-Worn
4.8 895013
MP9 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP9
Army Sheen
4.8 895028
In a year 55%
MP9 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP9
Army Sheen
Factory New
$ 0.76
31%
From last month
3366 offers on 8 markets
4.8 895093
MP9 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP9
Army Sheen
Field-Tested
$ 0.55
34%
From last week
959 offers on 8 markets
4.8 895161
MP9 | Army Sheen
Consumer Grade
Normal
MP9
Army Sheen
Minimal Wear
4.5 2108
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
4.5 2151
In a year 52%
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.32
146%
From last month
85 offers on 8 markets
4.5 2211
In a year 36%
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
Factory New
$ 0.59
103%
From last month
1264 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2120
In a year 78%
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
Field-Tested
$ 0.33
200%
From last month
718 offers on 8 markets
4.5 2151
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
Minimal Wear
$ 0.31
94%
From last month
688 offers on 9 markets
4.5 2291
MP9 | Bioleak
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Bioleak
Well-Worn
$ 0.34
143%
From last month
174 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1929
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Black Sand
4.8 1949
In half a year -39%
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Black Sand
Battle-Scarred
$ 0.09
200%
From last month
543 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1908
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Black Sand
Factory New
$ 0.65
117%
From last month
174 offers on 9 markets
4.8 1869
MP9 | Black Sand
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
MP9
Black Sand
Field-Tested
$ 0.11
120%
From last month
1078 offers on 8 markets

Description

The MP9 | Modest Threat was produced in Switzerland and is a high-end submachine gun, used by private security companies due to its ergonomic body. The sleek body has been hand-painted in orange and black, with a highly appealing color combination, making it one of the most eye-catching guns in battle.

History

History

The MP9 | Modest Threat was introduced in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, in the Danger Zone Case, which accompanied the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This charismatic skin, made by nozza himself-a very talented community designer-gained popularity right away because of its striking design and well-worn look.

Origin

Origin

MP9 | Modest Threat-Danger Zone Opening Case containers, which are rewarded via playing the Danger Zone game mode within CS2, will reward this skin. This skin belongs to the exclusive Danger Zone Collection and features a well-worn design with a modestly threatening appearance.

Popularity

Popularity

A well-worn MP9 | Modest Threat ranks as one of the most highly popular skins across CS2, with a very impressive 85% popularity rating. For a skin to be this popular in CS2, it means that it falls into the top 15% of CS2's most wanted objects, which can be reflected through its daily sales volume and price.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) is among 237 other skins for SMG in CS: GO. With the rarity of Mil-Spec Grade, this skin is rather common and is estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Well-Worn MP9 | Modest Threat is a pretty cheap skin, whose price may vary from $0.04 to $0.57. It is relatively easy to get because it's widely available for purchase through many markets, and there are 2.6 million of these units in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) in CS2 lies within the range of 0.38-0.45, which makes this skin fully worn out with a lot of scratches and a faded design. Moreover, in every exterior skin one can find the StatTrak version of the Modest Threat skin, so players will definitely be able to track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Modest Threat MP9 has gained over 3.6K votes on addskins.gg, and it has an amazing average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. This fact is further proved by the owners of this skin-the famous CS2 players such as fnx and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn MP9 sports a "Gunsmith" finish, made up of an attractive combination of patina with custom paint styles. The overall color of this skin is of an attractive orange color; pattern indexes don't change the Modest Threat finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Modest Threat (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.117 (-2.83%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.11 (-8.25%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.133 (10.92%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.24 (99.67%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players