MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)

4.9 4200 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 496
+16.95%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3 574
+4.41%
In a quarter
$ 3 945
+15.25%
In half a year
$ 4 540
+32.63%
In a year
$ 7 636
+123.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
60% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
24 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
White.Market
6 offers
from $ 3 423
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
5 offers
from $ 3 506
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
6 offers
from $ 3 517
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 3 775
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 4 000
Skinport
Skinport
1 offers
from $ 4 285
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 4 500
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 4 889
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 5 790
Inspect skin
MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Wild Lily inspecting MP9 | Wild Lily reloading MP9 | Wild Lily holding MP9 | Wild Lily pose-1 MP9 | Wild Lily pose-2 MP9 | Wild Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3 423
  • 7 days low: $ 3 423
  • 7 days high: $ 14 348
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 2 927
  • 30 days high: $ 14 348
  • 30 days price change: 16.95%
  • 90 days low: $ 2 927
  • 90 days high: $ 14 348
  • Year low: $ 2 000
  • Year high: $ 799 900
  • All time low: $ 1 656
  • All time high: $ 799 900
  • All time max offers: 29
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2
  • All time sales: 6
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 5.77
  • Volatility: 10.3%
  • Liquidity: 1.38%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3 574
  • Price forecast change in a month: 4.41%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3 945
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 15.25%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4 540
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 32.63%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 7 636
  • Price forecast change in a year: 123.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3 358
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3 358
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3 358
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3 358
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3 575
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3 720
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3 656
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3 697
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3 318
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3 731
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3 724
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3 723
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3 742
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3 759
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3 751
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 3 979
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 3 956
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3 518
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 3 516
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3 358
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
60%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) is a high-tech Swiss SMG popular with private security firms for their balance of ergonomic design. Certainly flash in appearance, this has a hand-painted blue lily over a bright purple base, lending elegance to its lethal performance. Take a moment to stop and smell the flowers of victory as the cordite wafts through the air.

History

History

The MP9 | Wild Lily-finely tangled flowers-arrived on November 18th, 2019, in the highly awaited "Operation Shattered Web" update. Since then, the skin has remained very sought-after among players, who love it for being both visually striking and highly dependable on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

The MP9 | Wild Lily is an extremely popular skin in CS2, featuring bright floral. Besides being a rather popular skin, it can't be purchased through container opening but can only be obtained by drop from the very rare St. Marc Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

As such, the MP9 | Wild Lily Factory New holds a popularity rank of 35% in the CS2 community. This is because its daily sales volume is analysed, along with its price, indicating that it's not one of the highest demand skins out there.

Rarity

Rarity

The Wild Lily for MP9 is one of 237 other SMG skins, making it quite rare in CS2. This skin falls into the Classified rarity category, hence it's very seldom seen when received because the drop chance is only about 3.2%.

Availability

Availability

As it always happens, prices of such a rare skin, like MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New), reach the high class and differ from $1,263.32 to $2,078.82. Despite the high cost of the skin, it is well spread because you can easily find it and buy on different markets. Moreover, there are approximately 2.5K units of MP9 | Wild Lily skin in open CS2 inventories for the moment.

Versions

Versions

The float value of MP9 | Wild Lily ranges from 0.00 to 0.70, so this skin is available in any condition. While it's impossible to get a StatTrak or Souvenir version of the Wild Lily skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP9 | Wild Lily skin is just too loved, with more than 4.1K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Its trend goes through to the professional scene, too, because such popular players like jl, b1t, and electronic are proud owners of this Factory New skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MP9 features a "Custom Paint Job" style, and the wildly colorful Wild Lily finish allows for a large number of personalized color combinations. Large areas of purple take center stage on this skin; however, pattern indexes do not affect the dazzling Wild Lily design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Wild Lily (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 3 574 (4.41%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3 945 (15.25%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 4 540 (32.63%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 7 636 (123.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players