★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

4.3 2381 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 18
+10.84%
Last month
$ 52
+39.39%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 186
+12.31%
In a quarter
$ 169
+2.04%
In half a year
$ 187
+12.91%
In a year
$ 192
+15.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
26 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 184
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 188
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
7 offers
from $ 189
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 193
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 194
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 200
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
3 offers
from $ 204
Steam
Steam
3 offers
from $ 220
Inspect skin
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 184
  • 24h price change: 10.84%
  • 7 days low: $ 166
  • 7 days high: $ 1 000
  • 7 days price change: 10.84%
  • 30 days low: $ 132
  • 30 days high: $ 1 000
  • 30 days price change: 39.39%
  • 90 days low: $ 132
  • 90 days high: $ 1 238
  • Year low: $ 120
  • Year high: $ 1 238
  • All time low: $ 120
  • All time high: $ 1 238
  • All time max offers: 61
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6
  • Sales for last 90 days: 24
  • All time sales: 73
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.61
  • Volatility: 11.45%
  • Liquidity: 4.9%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 186
  • Price forecast change in a month: 12.31%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 169
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.04%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 187
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 12.91%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 192
  • Price forecast change in a year: 15.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 158
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.6
19.37%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
✋ Hold
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 223
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 158
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.6
19.37%
Result
👍 Success
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 209
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 188
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 191
Action
✋ Hold
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 189
Action
❌ Avoid
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 197
Action
❌ Avoid
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 196
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 30.6
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 158
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Related

Description

History

History

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in virtual CS2 on August 1st, 2018, when it was added into the Danger Zone Case as a rare drop. Its blue and gold pattern skyrocketed into the players' attention, making this skin highly desired in the community for the knife.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened is one of the most wanted and rare skins for a knife, and it could be pulled out from a container Danger Zone Case or Horizon Case in CS2. Its bright blue pattern reminds one of a cloudy sky and makes the weapon look much more noble and special.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened Factory New is one of the super-popular skins in CS2, with a popularity rate of 90%. Its popularity is approved by the fact that this skin has very good sales and goes for a high price in the market, which makes it one of the most pursued skins among gamers.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of the 391 Knife skins existing in CS2. The rarity of this skin is Covert, which means this knife has an extremely rare drop, with the estimated chance being only 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened Factory New, for example, costs in a range from $102.08 to $374.50, which is pretty expensive. Currently, it is very widely available because it is so easy to access many markets. There are 5.2K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories, which means players are pretty likely to find and purchase the skin.

Versions

Versions

Float value for the ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened ranges in a spectrum from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing players to get the skin in whatever exterior variation they feel soifies to show off that iconic Case Hardened pattern. Furthermore, each of its exterior variations has its StatTrak version of the Navaja Knife | Case Hardened, adding even more value and desirability to items which were valuable for any collector in the first place.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened is one of the most popular knives in CS: GO, having accumulated the highest number of votes and an average rating of 4.3 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its unique case-hardened pattern along with a clean condition makes this knife skin highly desirable.

Finish style

Finish style

The "Case Hardened" finish on this Factory New Navaja Knife is stunning in every regard and looks for all the world as if a carefully applied patina had been set. The pattern index greatly affects appearance and creates an enigmatic mix of bright blue hues combined with an elaborated pattern across the blade and handle.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 186 (12.31%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 169 (2.04%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 187 (12.91%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 192 (15.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class