Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New)

4.9 1334 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.6
+2.22%
Last month
$ 0.6
+2.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 27.68
+0.1085%
In a quarter
$ 26.08
-5.68%
In half a year
$ 29.82
+7.85%
In a year
$ 65.61
+137.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
68% - Forecast accuracy
29% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
89 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 46.52
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Inspect skin
Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New)
Gallery
Negev | Phoenix Stencil inspecting Negev | Phoenix Stencil reloading Negev | Phoenix Stencil holding Negev | Phoenix Stencil pose-1 Negev | Phoenix Stencil pose-2 Negev | Phoenix Stencil pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 27.65
  • 24h price change: 0.91%
  • 7 days low: $ 27.05
  • 7 days high: $ 176
  • 7 days price change: 2.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 27.05
  • 30 days high: $ 467
  • 30 days price change: 2.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 12.97
  • 90 days high: $ 467
  • Year low: $ 11.7
  • Year high: $ 467
  • All time low: $ 8.17
  • All time high: $ 467
  • All time max offers: 167
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 8
  • Sales for last 30 days: 56
  • Sales for last 90 days: 220
  • All time sales: 546
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 2.57
  • Volatility: 18.28%
  • Liquidity: 7.53%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 27.68
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.1085%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 26.08
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -5.68%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 29.82
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 7.85%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 65.61
  • Price forecast change in a year: 137.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 13.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 15.86
Action
✋ Hold
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.95
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 18.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.54
32.54%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 39.09
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 33.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.32
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 13.49
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 15.08
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.86
Action
✋ Hold
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.95
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 13.95
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.97
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 14.15
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 14.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 4.54
32.54%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 39.09
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 47.01
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 44.6
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 33.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.32
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 29.18
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 4.54
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 47.27
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
68%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
29%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New): Able to unleash a hailstorm of suppressive fire, its atypical recoil pattern demands a bit of time and practice to master. Colorful graffiti covers this entire piece in several colors, designed with influence from the Phoenix Connexion. It is an audacious statement about their unbreakable spirit-and most importantly, how they're invincible.

History

History

The Negev | Phoenix Stencil first appeared in CS2 on December 3rd, 2020, in the highly anticipated "Operation Broken Fang" update. Ever since then, this Factory New skin has been a hot desire among players as one of the most intriguing skins for its minutely detailed design of a phoenix and is notorious for striking terror into the enemies' souls on the battlefield.

Origin

Origin

Negev | Phoenix Stencil This skin is ultra-rare-the skin cannot drop from any container opening. Instead, it is part of The Havoc Collection and shows much care taken into the crafting and minute details that go into this factory-new skin.

Popularity

Popularity

The Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) is extremely popular in the CS2 community. It has a rating of 70%, which is right up within the top 30% most wanted items for the game, based on its volume of sales per day and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) - This is just one of 43 unique CS2 skins for the Negev machinegun. Mil-Spec Grade is what this skin's classification is, making it more abundant than others. It has an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) is outstandingly cheap, ranging in price from $5.97 to $6.77, and thus available for any kind of wallet. It's easy to get one since the skin is rather widely available in many markets, and there are 30.7K units of Phoenix Stencil in public CS2 inventories right now.

Versions

Versions

Negev | Phoenix Stencil-from the float value range of 0.00-0.65, which allows players to get the skin in all kinds of exterior looks for a perfect view. Still, for collectors seeking StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin, the Phoenix Stencil will not provide those variations.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Negev | Phoenix Stencil got a very positive community sentiment of 4.9-star rating over more than 1.3K votes on addskins.gg. Players like it because of its factory-new state and the peculiar design of the stencil; such a weapon skin is highly popular in CS2.

Finish style

Finish style

The density and spacing of the phoenix stencils on the Negev are driven by the pattern index to give a complicated and unique design. A brown tint gives warmth and depth to the overall appearance of a visually attractive realistic finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Negev | Phoenix Stencil (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 27.68 (0.1085%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 26.08 (-5.68%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 29.82 (7.85%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 65.61 (137.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

All machinegun