Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 2503 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+60%
Last month
$ 0.06
+300%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.051
-27.86%
In a quarter
$ 0.025
-64.57%
In half a year
$ 0.055
-22.0%
In a year
$ 0.029
-58.43%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
63% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
882 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
Negev | Ultralight inspecting Negev | Ultralight reloading Negev | Ultralight holding Negev | Ultralight pose-1 Negev | Ultralight pose-2 Negev | Ultralight pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.08
  • 24h price change: 33.33%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.05
  • 7 days high: $ 1 000
  • 7 days price change: 60%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.02
  • 30 days high: $ 1 000
  • 30 days price change: 300%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.02
  • 90 days high: $ 1 000
  • Year low: $ 0.01
  • Year high: $ 1 000
  • All time low: $ 0.01
  • All time high: $ 1 000
  • All time max offers: 6329
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 299
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2520
  • Sales for last 30 days: 21323
  • Sales for last 90 days: 36678
  • All time sales: 105030
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.75
  • Volatility: 56.75%
  • Liquidity: 4.66%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.051
  • Price forecast change in a month: -27.86%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.025
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -64.57%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.055
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -22.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.029
  • Price forecast change in a year: -58.43%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.03
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-33.33%
Result
👎 Fail
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
50.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.03
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.01
-33.33%
Result
👎 Fail
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
50.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.025
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.05
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.04
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.06
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
63%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2618
4331
3525
13898
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 150/300
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 150
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
$ 1.89
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From last month
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$ 2.01
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Description

The Negev | Ultralight brings a storm of bullets, enough to shred anything that dares stand before it. However, the untamed recoil demands one be patient and highly skillful in order for one to be able to subdue it fully. Its slick design showcases a custom gray digital camo pattern with bright teal-colored arrows, which adds a nice touch for those who prefer just a bit of flair in their armory.

History

History

The Negev | Ultralight was officially dropped into the CS2 community on August 6th, 2020, when it was released as part of the Fracture Case. It was designed by the talented community designer named "Hoxton."

Origin

Origin

Negev | Ultralight is a rare skin that can be opened by getting a container from the highly sought Fracture Case. It belongs to The Fracture Collection, with skins famous for their complicated design and how they look after a real fight. The Negev | Ultralight is one of those highly admired possessions among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) has been very popular in the CS2 community, holding the top 15% position in highly sought items. It owes its popularity to a very high daily sales volume and comparatively higher price against the backdrop of other skins.

Rarity

Rarity

The Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) is one of the 43 Machinegun skins of CS2. It belongs to Mil-Spec Grade and has a relatively high drop chance because the chances are 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) is an inexpensive skin, the price starting with $0.03 peaking at $0.46. Besides, it is quite easy to get this skin, as it is rather widespread on various CS2 markets, and already some 2.7 mln units have appeared in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) is within ranges from 0.00 to 0.79, which indicates that the skin can be available in all possible exterior variations. In addition to the options given for every exterior there is another variant, this one is the StatTrak version of the Ultralight and it will track every kill that this lightweight machine gun can make.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) | The Negev has gained immense interest within the community on addskins.gg, gaining over 2.5K votes with an incredible average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Further reinforcement of popularity comes from the ownership of this skin in the arsenal of such esteemed professional CS2 players as flusha, fnx, and s1mple.

Finish style

Finish style

The Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) has a "Custom Paint Job" style with various colors that make the skin look personalized. In this skin, though, the color black is the most dominating, so this skin looks slick and stealthy. The pattern indexes don't change anything in the Ultralight finish for consistency in visual appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 0.051 (-27.86%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.025 (-64.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.055 (-22.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.029 (-58.43%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.62
Max: 0.79
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun