Negev | Ultralight (Factory New)

4.4 2524 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+8.82%
Last month
$ 0.11
+42.31%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.322
-15.26%
In a quarter
$ 0.292
-23.11%
In half a year
$ 0.334
-12.0%
In a year
$ 0.51
+34.21%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
59% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
716 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Waxpeer
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CSGO.COM
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58 offers
from $ 0.419
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256 offers
from $ 0.63
CSGOEmpire
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32 offers
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CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 5
Inspect skin
Negev | Ultralight (Factory New)
Gallery
Negev | Ultralight inspecting Negev | Ultralight reloading Negev | Ultralight holding Negev | Ultralight pose-1 Negev | Ultralight pose-2 Negev | Ultralight pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.37
  • 7 days low: $ 0.34
  • 7 days high: $ 19.79
  • 7 days price change: 8.82%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.26
  • 30 days high: $ 20.01
  • 30 days price change: 42.31%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.16
  • 90 days high: $ 20.01
  • Year low: $ 0.087
  • Year high: $ 41
  • All time low: $ 0.06
  • All time high: $ 41
  • All time max offers: 1143
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 124
  • Sales for last 7 days: 990
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4908
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13942
  • All time sales: 40876
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.76
  • Volatility: 9.66%
  • Liquidity: 12.2%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.322
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.26%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.292
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -23.11%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.334
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -12.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.51
  • Price forecast change in a year: 34.21%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.24
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
4.17%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.24
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.239
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.2
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.25
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.01
4.17%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
📉 Sell
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.32
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.5
Action
📉 Sell
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.34
Action
❌ Avoid
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.36
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.01
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.24
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
59%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2618
4331
3525
13898
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 150/300
  • Damage: 35
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 800
  • Movement speed: 150
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a year 52%
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$ 8.99
40%
From last month
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Negev | Boroque Sand
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Field-Tested
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Negev
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Minimal Wear
4.6 4103
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Negev
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Well-Worn
$ 1.89
37%
From last month
95 offers on 11 markets
$ 8.1
36%
From last month
76 offers on 11 markets
$ 2.01
35%
From last month
156 offers on 10 markets

Description

The Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is a powerhouse gun, laying down withering rains of projectiles that pin down enemy movements. Its recalcitrant recoil takes time and patience to master. The sleek profile is accented in custom gray digital camo with bright teal arrows, lending a bit of flair to this lethal tool.

History

History

The Negev | Ultralight first hit the scenes on August 6th, 2020, when the Fracture Case was released as a new skin within the CS2 community. The designer of this beautiful piece, the very talented community artist "Hoxton," has had the pleasure of witnessing this factory-new skin turn extremely desirable immediately after its release to the player base looking to add just that touch of flair to their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The Negev | Ultralight is one sleek, ultra-futuristic skin introduced to the CS2 community by the highly desirable Fracture Case. Being an ultralight version of the machine gun Negev, it shows a very special design and is a very valued part of the Fracture Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is widely used in the CS2 community, holding an outstanding popularity rating of 85%. Therefore, this well-sought skin keeps its position among the top 15% of the most desirable items, proof of its volume of sales each day; it is quite expensive on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Ultralight is one of 43 other skins for Machinegun in CS2. So, for players, this skin is not that rare. The Negev has Mil-Spec Grade rarity and an estimated drop chance of 79.92%. Getting an Ultralight at Factory New condition is relatively achievable.

Availability

Availability

The Negev | Ultralight is an extremely cheap skin, as the price of it starts from $0.03 and reaches a maximum of $0.46, so it is very accessible to all CS2 players. It is highly available on many markets since there are about 2.7 million units circulating in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.79, so that the skin can be found in all exteriors, thus offering a wide variety of looks for players. Next, for each exterior, there is an adequate StatTrak version of the Ultralight with which players may track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Negev | Ultralight has received quite significant support within the community. More than 2.5K votes for this skin on addskins.gg, with an excellent average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional players of CS2, like flusha, fnx, and s1mple, who own this highly sought-after skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Negev features the incredibly futuristic and ultra-sleek "Custom Paint Job" style, painted in the Ultralight finish, which allows several different bright colors. In this particular skin, however, it's focusing more on a dark and sleek-looking dominant black color, with variation in shadings, while pattern indexes do not affect the look of the Ultralight finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.322 (-15.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.292 (-23.11%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.334 (-12.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.51 (34.21%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.79
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun