Pistol
Knife
Machinegun
Glove

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is a powerhouse gun, laying down withering rains of projectiles that pin down enemy movements. Its recalcitrant recoil takes time and patience to master. The sleek profile is accented in custom gray digital camo with bright teal arrows, lending a bit of flair to this lethal tool.
The Negev | Ultralight first hit the scenes on August 6th, 2020, when the Fracture Case was released as a new skin within the CS2 community. The designer of this beautiful piece, the very talented community artist "Hoxton," has had the pleasure of witnessing this factory-new skin turn extremely desirable immediately after its release to the player base looking to add just that touch of flair to their arsenal.
The Negev | Ultralight is one sleek, ultra-futuristic skin introduced to the CS2 community by the highly desirable Fracture Case. Being an ultralight version of the machine gun Negev, it shows a very special design and is a very valued part of the Fracture Collection.
The Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is widely used in the CS2 community, holding an outstanding popularity rating of 85%. Therefore, this well-sought skin keeps its position among the top 15% of the most desirable items, proof of its volume of sales each day; it is quite expensive on the market.
The Ultralight is one of 43 other skins for Machinegun in CS2. So, for players, this skin is not that rare. The Negev has Mil-Spec Grade rarity and an estimated drop chance of 79.92%. Getting an Ultralight at Factory New condition is relatively achievable.
The Negev | Ultralight is an extremely cheap skin, as the price of it starts from $0.03 and reaches a maximum of $0.46, so it is very accessible to all CS2 players. It is highly available on many markets since there are about 2.7 million units circulating in public CS2 inventories.
The float value for the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) in CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.79, so that the skin can be found in all exteriors, thus offering a wide variety of looks for players. Next, for each exterior, there is an adequate StatTrak version of the Ultralight with which players may track their kills in style.
The Negev | Ultralight has received quite significant support within the community. More than 2.5K votes for this skin on addskins.gg, with an excellent average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to professional players of CS2, like flusha, fnx, and s1mple, who own this highly sought-after skin.
This Factory New Negev features the incredibly futuristic and ultra-sleek "Custom Paint Job" style, painted in the Ultralight finish, which allows several different bright colors. In this particular skin, however, it's focusing more on a dark and sleek-looking dominant black color, with variation in shadings, while pattern indexes do not affect the look of the Ultralight finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.322 (-15.26%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.292 (-23.11%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.334 (-12.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.51 (34.21%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.