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8 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Negev | Ultralight (Battle-Scarred) This is a fearsome weapon that, if the unwieldy recoil can be tamed, is capable of laying down a withering storm of bullets to suppress the enemy. Custom gray digital camouflage pattern with brightly colored teal arrows gives this menacing full-auto a bit of flair.
The Negev | Ultralight first appeared in the CS2 world on August 6th, 2020, as a major skin part of the Fracture Case collection included during the "Fracture Case Skins" update. This strikingly impressive skin was elaborately designed by the sensational community designer named "Hoxton."
The Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is an extremely rare drop that can be opened via a container in the Fracture Case, bringing into CS2 gameplay some lottery-like excitement and mystery. It belongs to The Fracture Collection, which consists of really visually appealing and highly popular weapon skins, created with creativity and skill by the active community of CS2.
The popularity of the Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is impressive, 85%, among the CS2 community, which turns this skin into one of the most popular. It is measured in the volume of its sales on a day-to-day basis and the value of its price, which is an indicator of demand and popularity within the gaming community.
Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is a part of the 43 various Machinegun skins existing in CS2. Its rarity is Mil-Spec Grade, and the drop chance is very high - 79.92%.
Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is the most budget variant for CS2 players because it can be bought for quite a moderate price: in a range from $0.03 to $0.46. Many markets allow buying this popular skin effortlessly, which explains its widespread presence. Indeed, as of now, there are 2.7 million units of Ultralight residing in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.40 to 0.79; it has some worn appearance, which might add more character to the skin. Anyway, whatever the exterior, players also find a StatTrak skin variant for the Ultralight skin and track kills in great style.
Ultralight skin Negev has been able to gather over 2.5K votes on skins website addskins.gg, with an average of 4.4 from 5 stars. Its popularity is further cemented by ownership from popular professional players like flusha, fnx, and s1mple.
Negev | Ultralight skin in CS2 has an "Ultra custom paint job" style, which allows a large degree of variation in color typically, but this particular skin is mostly black to make it look sleek and dark. The Ultralight finish keeps the exact pattern for all of the indexes to not compromise its look.
According to the forecast, the price of the Negev | Ultralight (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.066 (-17.13%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.05 (-38.12%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.058 (-27.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.074 (-7.12%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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