★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)

3.8 2086 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 31
+8.54%
Last month
$ 88
+28.76%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 415
+3.57%
In a quarter
$ 457
+14.05%
In half a year
$ 445
+11.06%
In a year
$ 431
+7.56%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
22% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
35 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
White.Market
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5 offers
from $ 394
Waxpeer
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from $ 398
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
3 offers
from $ 452
Lis-skins
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5 offers
from $ 486
ShadowPay
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4 offers
from $ 524
CSGO.COM
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3 offers
from $ 536
CSGOEmpire
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4 offers
from $ 683
Skinport
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4 offers
from $ 760
Steam
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2 offers
from $ 851
Inspect skin
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 394
  • 7 days low: $ 363
  • 7 days high: $ 1 172
  • 7 days price change: 8.54%
  • 30 days low: $ 306
  • 30 days high: $ 1 771
  • 30 days price change: 28.76%
  • 90 days low: $ 306
  • 90 days high: $ 4 151
  • Year low: $ 306
  • Year high: $ 455 818
  • All time low: $ 306
  • All time high: $ 769 000
  • All time max offers: 69
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5
  • All time sales: 15
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 1.4
  • Volatility: 10.39%
  • Liquidity: 1.8%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 415
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.57%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 457
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 14.05%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 445
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 11.06%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 431
  • Price forecast change in a year: 7.56%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 578
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 540
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 540
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 525
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15
-2.78%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 531
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 509
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 544
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 607
Action
📉 Sell
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 341
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 578
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 540
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 540
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 525
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -15
-2.78%
Result
👎 Fail
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 531
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 513
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 509
Action
✋ Hold
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 544
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 558
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 566
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 572
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 575
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 562
Action
❌ Avoid
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 607
Action
📉 Sell
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 341
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 341
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 389
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -15
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 881
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
22%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on November 18th, 2019, when it was released along with a new inventory. Being one of the highly demanded knives, it was introduced with the Fracture Case, which had been released together with the "Operation Shattered Web" update, thus stirring great excitement and anticipation among players around the globe.

Origin

Origin

Nomad Knife | Case Hardened skin ★ is one of the most popular skins, and it can only be dropped when opening a container Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case in CS: GO. Unlike previous knives, this one does not belong to collections, so the item is just unique in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) boasts an outrageous 90% rating of popularity among the CS2 community and hence is one of the topmost wanted items in the game. Such evaluation will be based on the skin's phenomenal daily volume of sales, combined with the steadily high market price it enjoys.

Rarity

Rarity

Extern The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in-game. The skin has a Covert rarity, which means this skin has an ultra rare drop chance, with an estimated drop chance of just 0.26%.

Availability

Availability

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) skin is highly in demand and very costly, with prices up to $693.51. Despite the high cost of this skin, it is presently available aplenty and can easily be resupplied from various markets. Evidence that the Case Hardened skin is highly liked is that up to 4.7K units of the same model are available in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, allowing players to find this skin in all the different exterior forms that showcase the unique patterns and colors of this great Case Hardened finish. Additionally, for collectors and enthusiasts, there is a StatTrak version for each exterior, adding another layer of rarity and value to these highly sought knives.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened requires an outstanding community sentiment of over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 3.8 out of 5 stars. Besides that, this skin is owned by professional CS2 players such as m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Nomad Knife features an exquisite "Case Hardened" finish that displays a stunning mottled mix of blues and golden tones. The pattern index greatly affects the finish of the knife, and the result is unique variations in tone and intricate patterns on the blade.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 415 (3.57%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 457 (14.05%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 445 (11.06%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 431 (7.56%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class