★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)

3.8 1937 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 3
+1.42%
Last month
$ 46
+27.38%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 253
+18.01%
In a quarter
$ 290
+35.27%
In half a year
$ 248
+15.68%
In a year
$ 215
+0.2892%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
48% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
101 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
22 offers
from $ 214
White.Market
White.Market
29 offers
from $ 253
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
6 offers
from $ 254
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 255
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
4 offers
from $ 292
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
7 offers
from $ 299
Steam
Steam
13 offers
from $ 353
Skinport
Skinport
10 offers
from $ 358
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
6 offers
from $ 392
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 473
Inspect skin
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 214
  • 7 days low: $ 211
  • 7 days high: $ 3 942
  • 7 days price change: 1.42%
  • 30 days low: $ 168
  • 30 days high: $ 4 942
  • 30 days price change: 27.38%
  • 90 days low: $ 168
  • 90 days high: $ 4 942
  • Year low: $ 168
  • Year high: $ 64 983
  • All time low: $ 168
  • All time high: $ 64 983
  • All time max offers: 288
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 30
  • Sales for last 30 days: 144
  • Sales for last 90 days: 182
  • All time sales: 348
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2152
  • Volatility: 22.05%
  • Liquidity: 4.01%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 253
  • Price forecast change in a month: 18.01%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 290
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 35.27%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 248
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 15.68%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 215
  • Price forecast change in a year: 0.2892%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 380
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 370
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 333
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -37.17
-10.05%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 327
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 346
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 337
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 355
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 349
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 204
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 39.97
19.63%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 380
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 370
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 370
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 339
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 333
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 333
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -37.17
-10.05%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 327
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 342
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 346
Action
✋ Hold
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 337
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 363
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 355
Action
✋ Hold
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 349
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 340
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 374
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 204
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 204
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 244
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 39.97
19.63%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.8
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 574
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
48%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
Related
$ 150
59%
From last month
148 offers on 10 markets
4.7 3926
In half a year 31%
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel
Covert
Normal
★ Nomad Knife
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
$ 182
85%
From last month
106 offers on 10 markets
4.7 3801
In half a year 32%
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel
Covert
Normal
★ Nomad Knife
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 150
96%
From last month
128 offers on 10 markets
$ 90.2
52%
From last month
213 offers on 9 markets
$ 81.34
34%
From last month
228 offers on 9 markets
$ 95.07
41%
From last month
116 offers on 8 markets
4.8 1957
In half a year 66%
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest
Covert
Normal
★ Nomad Knife
Boreal Forest
Well-Worn
$ 82.65
42%
From last month
107 offers on 8 markets
$ 158
72%
From last month
155 offers on 10 markets
$ 171
54%
From last month
157 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened first appeared in CS2 on November 18th, 2019, when it was added to the Fracture Case. This already popular knife became even more desirable since it came into action with the highly discussed update "Operation Shattered Web" for its Case Hardened pattern.

Origin

Origin

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) can be obtained through the opening of a Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case container, which gives players a chance to get this skin. Unlike other skins, the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) does not belong to any collections, hence it's an independent object of desire among CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is, without a doubt, one of the most wanted items in CS2, enjoyed by 90% of players. This skin, therefore, happens to be among the most popular in-game. Its high popularity is evidenced in its number of sales that keep running for high prices.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is a rare skin, one of 391 Knife skins available in CS2. The Covert rarity category includes this skin, and it forms an ultra rare drop. Therefore, the drop chance is considered to be as poor as just 0.26% only.

Availability

Availability

The Case Hardened ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear for CS2 costs from $234.40 to $693.51, which is pretty expensive. But it's readily available because this skin has a wide availability on different markets. Besides, there is a pretty big amount of 4.7K units of Case Hardened skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened Minimal Wear in CS: GO is from 0.07-0.15. This has a really nice-looking pattern in blue on the blade and handle. For Case Hardened, it's available in all possible exterior versions, and for each exterior version, a variant with StatTrak is available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

A good example is ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear), which impressed the CS2 community with a very impressive sum: more than 1.9K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 3.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity even extends to professional players who have this skin in their inventory, such as m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq.

Finish style

Finish style

This Nomad Knife features an exceptional "Case Hardened" finish, and it is highly dependent on the pattern index used. The finish mimics that of case hardening, a process in which the surface of the steel is heated and then quenched to achieve a bright and intricate pattern of blues, purples, and golds in a very unique and stunning way.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 253 (18.01%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 290 (35.27%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 248 (15.68%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 215 (0.2892%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class