★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)

3.8 1958 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 10
+6.54%
Last month
$ 61
+59.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 201
+25.67%
In a quarter
$ 203
+26.92%
In half a year
$ 205
+28.17%
In a year
$ 192
+20.05%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
64% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
86 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)
Gallery
★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened inspecting ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened holding ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-1 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 163
  • 24h price change: 2.52%
  • 7 days low: $ 153
  • 7 days high: $ 6 725
  • 7 days price change: 6.54%
  • 30 days low: $ 102
  • 30 days high: $ 6 776
  • 30 days price change: 59.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 102
  • 90 days high: $ 6 776
  • Year low: $ 102
  • Year high: $ 400 420
  • All time low: $ 102
  • All time high: $ 400 420
  • All time max offers: 367
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 7
  • Sales for last 7 days: 32
  • Sales for last 30 days: 235
  • Sales for last 90 days: 340
  • All time sales: 713
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.063
  • Volatility: 34.14%
  • Liquidity: 3.92%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 201
  • Price forecast change in a month: 25.67%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 203
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 26.92%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 205
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.17%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 192
  • Price forecast change in a year: 20.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 270
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 270
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -32.8
-12.15%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 117
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 86.56
74.16%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 270
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 270
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 259
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 228
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 230
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 224
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -32.8
-12.15%
Result
👎 Fail
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 237
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 258
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 247
Action
❌ Avoid
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
❌ Avoid
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 260
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 117
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 203
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 86.56
74.16%
Result
👍 Success
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 53.76
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 387
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
64%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel
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From last month
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In half a year 66%
★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest
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★ Nomad Knife
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$ 82.65
42%
From last month
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72%
From last month
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$ 171
54%
From last month
157 offers on 9 markets

Description

History

History

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened dropped in-game on November 18th, 2019, when it became a rare drop knife in the Fracture Case. This slick, highly popular knife turned out to be even more in demand since this drop coincided with the announcement of the highly anticipated "Operation Shattered Web" update, due to the intricate blue patterns and the battle-hardened look of this knife.

Origin

Origin

Well-Worn ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened: Unlock a Fracture Case or Shattered Web Case to receive this skin variant with luck. Unlike most of the other skins, it doesn't come into any collection, and that's probably the reason it is so wanted by collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) has a popularity rating of 90%. Its desirability basically comes from the unique and striking Case Hardened pattern, making it one of the most wanted items in the CS2 community. Basically, this popularity is determined by its steady high sales volume and the high price in premium it demands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is one of 391 other Knife skins existing in CS2. This Case Hardened has a rarity classification of Covert, making this well-worn skin an extremely rare drop - only estimated to drop just 0.26% of the time.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is a high-tier skin, priced within the range of $234.40-693.51. As much as this skin is rather costly, it is also pretty easily available since it may be found on numerous markets. Besides, there is quite a huge amount of 4.7K units of the Case Hardened in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

This makes the float value for the Well-Worn version of ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened fall between 0.38 and 0.45, giving it a worn-out appearance with various scratches and wear on both the blade and handle. Conversely, the Well-Worn ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened also comes available with StatTrak to let players track kills with this cool custom skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Community sentiment for CS2 Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is split with an average rating of 3.8 out of 5 stars with over 1.9K votes on addskins.gg. Nevertheless, this skin is prestigious within the professional CS2 scene due to its owners like m0nesy, kscerato, and cerq.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-used Nomad Knife features a very striking "Case Hardened" finish, reminiscent of the natural patina that develops on older steels. The pattern index on the blade adds a touch of class, making for a visually striking marriage of vivid blues, purples, and golds.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the ★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 201 (25.67%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 203 (26.92%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 205 (28.17%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 192 (20.05%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class