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25 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
This is the Nova | Blaze Orange-Factory New, an affordable yet powerful weapon that's ideal for teams on a tight budget looking to catch their opponents off guard. It adds style with its vibrant blaze orange color, embellished with a realistic photographic hunting camo hydrographic.
When the Nova | Blaze Orange first came into the world of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, with "The Arms Deal" update, players oohed and ahhed at its bright, catchy finish. It surely has turned into one of the highly sought-after shotgun skins due to its peculiar orange color and sleek design.
The Nova | Blaze Orange skin is one of the most demanded in CS2, and it cannot be dropped by opening cases in a regular way; it comes only in the restricted Militia Collection, which makes it extra rare and valuable for any collector and player. Its unique look and bright orange color line make this skin really popular among those gamers who want to have a weapon skin not like the others, a skin that may attract much attention.
This is because the Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) has popularity of 70% among CS2 players, placing it in the top 30% of most wanted objects. This assessment is based on both its daily sales volume and the average market price of the skin.
It's one of 134 other Shotgun skins existing in CS2 and belongs to the Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it fairly common and drops with an estimated probability of 79.92%.
The Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) skin of CS2 is, of course, a low-budget purchase-as its prices range from $9.39 to $180.31. Besides, it is highly available, which means that on different markets, one can find it rather easily; therefore, for players, it will not be a problem to get it. There is also an enormous amount of 2.1K units of Blaze Orange skin provided in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of CS2's Nova | Blaze Orange can be everything from 0.06 to 0.80, and the skin comes in every possible exterior; the wear pattern can be very different. However, there is one important thing for collectors to bear in mind: no StatTrak and no Souvenir versions for this skin are available in-game yet.
Currently, the Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) in CS2 was voted for over 7.6K times on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Moreover, this skin is popular among in-game and even professional players; for example, krystal-a famous pro CS2 player-owns this skin.
Externally This Factory New Nova features the Hydrographic skin pattern: Blaze Orange. The pattern indexes and method of application vary, but the hydrographic dipping process involves submerging parts in a tank of water with a floating hydrographic film; the surface tension allows the film to curve around objects without distorting the pattern.
According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Blaze Orange (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 831 (-6.42%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 770 (-13.29%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 912 (2.7%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2 091 (135.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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