Nova | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear)

4.5 7739 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 32.83
-2.61%
In a quarter
$ 37.28
+10.59%
In half a year
$ 39.78
+18.01%
In a year
$ 66.63
+97.66%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
29 offers on 6 markets
Updated10 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
7 offers
from $ 32.02
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 33.71
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
10 offers
from $ 42.86
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 44.46
Steam
Steam
6 offers
from $ 133
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 450
Inspect skin
Nova | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Blaze Orange inspecting Nova | Blaze Orange reloading Nova | Blaze Orange holding Nova | Blaze Orange pose-1 Nova | Blaze Orange pose-2 Nova | Blaze Orange pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 32.02
  • 7 days low: $ 32.02
  • 7 days high: $ 450
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 32.02
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 32.02
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 25
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 21.1
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 37
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 14
  • Sales for last 90 days: 19
  • All time sales: 54
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 6.56
  • Volatility: 8.49%
  • Liquidity: 3.37%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 32.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: -2.61%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 37.28
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 10.59%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 39.78
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 18.01%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 66.63
  • Price forecast change in a year: 97.66%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 29.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 41.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.42
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 42.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.4
3.38%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 42.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 42.5
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 29.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 36.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 42.06
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 41.42
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.42
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 42.82
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.4
3.38%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 42.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 42.5
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 45.72
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 44.51
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 44.66
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 39.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 40.07
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 38.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 38.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 36.6
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 33.63
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 32.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.4
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 83.92
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.82
46%
From last month
146 offers on 8 markets
4.7 2753
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4.7 2670
In a year 57%
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Factory New
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Field-Tested
$ 96.03 $ 1 873
9 offers on 3 markets
4.7 2623
In a year 81%
Nova | Baroque Orange
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Nova
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Minimal Wear
4.7 2632
In a year 226%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
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Nova
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Well-Worn
4.5 7621
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
4.5 7798
In a year 120%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Battle-Scarred
$ 14.36
38%
From last week
12 offers on 7 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
35 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7651
In a year 66%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.77 $ 35.54
16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Blaze Orange [Minimal Wear] is a relatively inexpensive choice for any teams on a budget, offering in its own right a reasonably reliable ambush weapon. This gives the weapon some style, with its bright photorealistic hunting camo hydrographic paint job; functional and stylish, all in one.

History

History

The Nova | Blaze Orange first touched down in CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was introduced as part of the "The Arms Deal" update. Since then, this intriguing shotgun skin has gained popularity among collectors and users alike with its amazingly bright orange color and sleek design.

Origin

Origin

One of the most chased skins in CS2, the Nova | Blaze Orange, cannot be dropped from a regular case opening and is instead reserved for The Militia Collection, which makes it extra special and super rare to find for those determined enough. Bright orange in color and fascinatingly designed, this is one of the flashiest weapon skins in the game.

Popularity

Popularity

This skin is one of the most popular in CS2, having attained a popularity rating of 70%. It constantly sits in the top 30% of the most wanted skins as per its volume of sales and current market value determined on a daily basis.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Blaze Orange-Minimal Wear is one of 134 other shotgun skins that the game has in store for CS: GO. It features Mil-Spec Grade rarity, which makes it a relatively common drop-one whose drop chance is estimated to stand at about 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The market price for the Nova | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) goes from $9.39 to $180.31, what makes it pretty affordable for players. Because this skin is so highly popular, it is available in lots of markets. There are about 2.1K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Floating from 0.06 to 0.80, the Nova | Blaze Orange skin in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive is available for players in every condition. However, it does not take the StatTrak and Souvenir forms.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Blaze Orange gained much attention from the community, having an impressive number of votes on addskins.gg and a rather impressive average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity extends to the professional scene in CS2, as krystal is one of the popular players in the competitive scene who proudly owns it.

Finish style

Finish style

This, in essence, is the hydrographic style, as it requires a water tank to dip weapon parts into, allowing the floating film to adhere to its surface and create a patterned design. The dominant orange tint gives an active and appealing look and feel to the skin. The pattern index takes a lot of part in influencing the outlook that the Blaze Orange finish gets.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Blaze Orange (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 32.83 (-2.61%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 37.28 (10.59%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 39.78 (18.01%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 66.63 (97.66%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players