Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)

4.7 7934 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.009
+5.96%
Last month
$ 0.063
+64.95%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.191
+19.31%
In a quarter
$ 0.233
+45.5%
In half a year
$ 0.306
+91.25%
In a year
$ 0.59
+269.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
7936 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Caged Steel inspecting Nova | Caged Steel reloading Nova | Caged Steel holding Nova | Caged Steel pose-1 Nova | Caged Steel pose-2 Nova | Caged Steel pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.16
  • 24h price change: 5.96%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.151
  • 7 days high: $ 10 000
  • 7 days price change: 5.96%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.097
  • 30 days high: $ 10 000
  • 30 days price change: 64.95%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.097
  • 90 days high: $ 10 000
  • Year low: $ 0.052
  • Year high: $ 10 000
  • All time low: $ 0.04
  • All time high: $ 99 999
  • All time max offers: 7932
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 410
  • Sales for last 7 days: 5713
  • Sales for last 30 days: 22670
  • Sales for last 90 days: 43946
  • All time sales: 138936
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 7.58
  • Volatility: 16.02%
  • Liquidity: 6.48%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.191
  • Price forecast change in a month: 19.31%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.233
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 45.5%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.306
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 91.25%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.59
  • Price forecast change in a year: 269.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.36
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.052
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.052
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.36
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.052
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.052
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.31
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.224
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.225
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.245
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.33
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.296
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.386
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.166
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.052
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
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Description

The Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) provides a more affordable alternative, yet still an effective one for teams on a tight budget. It's the ultimate weapon with which massive damage can be inflicted through surprise attacks. The hex pattern used in this skin is made from stencilled metal flake paint. Added to this is an oval cut hydrographic that gives depth to this design. It has a matte finish and a modern appeal to it.

History

History

The Nova | Caged Steel appeared in CS2 on May 1st, 2014, featured in the highly awaited "The Hunt Begins" update, where players were charmed with its detailed design of a steel cage.

Origin

Origin

Nova | Caged Steel, Factory New, has never been dropped through the opening of any container. Further, it is considered one of the rarest and most exclusive skins in existence. Bank Collection-By joining this striking skin, it has created a really highly in-demand addition among collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Caged Steel Factory New) enjoys extremely high popularity among players in the world of CS2, earning 85% rating in the opinion of the community and occupying a place in the top 15% of the rarest items by virtue of its daily sales volume and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) is one of 134 other skins existing for Shotgun class in CS2. The skin has Industrial Grade rarity, meaning it is relatively common, and players do come across it often when playing matches.

Availability

Availability

Factory New skins of this particular look of the Nova cost in the range of $0.12 to $0.15, depending on which marketplace is being used and the seller's pricing, which makes them super affordable for CS2 players. Plus, it is widely available since such skins could be found in many online marketplaces where CS2 items can be sold or bought; hence, users find it easily available. Additionally, this skin is quite common, with about 1.9 million units estimated to be currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Floating value of Nova | Caged Steel lies in a range from 0.00 to 0.20, and because of this range, the players are able to get the skin in Factory New, Minimal Wear, and Field-Tested conditions, thus giving them more options for wear. Collectors looking for StatTrak or Souvenir variations of the Caged Steel will be less than thrilled to find they are not issued for this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Caged Steel has a very positive community sentiment, going for 4.7 out of 5 stars and over 7.8K votes on addskins.gg. Just as popular among amateur players, this skin is equally sought after by professional CS2 players such as adren, neo, and pyth.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Nova features the Caged Steel finish, a mix of Anodized Multicolored style, with dominant gray shades. Most of the appearance in the finish comes from the pattern index of the finish itself. The multicolored candy coat pattern has been achieved by silk-screening or using adherable stencils.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Caged Steel (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 0.191 (19.31%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 0.233 (45.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.306 (91.25%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.59 (269.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.2
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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