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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Nova | Exo (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The Nova | Exo-Factory New is an inexpensive team purchase and often the best choice for many close budgets when trying to set an unexpected ambush. With a slick design that sports a bold silver panel theme atop a bright purple pattern, this gun simply catches the eye and is rather affordable.
The Nova | Exo first appeared in CS2 on June 15th, 2016, when it was released with the Gamma Case. This stylish skin, designed by the talented community designer "SHPR," gained overnight popularity among the players because of its sleek and futuristic design.
The skin is very wanted because of its sleek, futuristic look. It could be opened only from an in-game container called a Gamma Case, which made it very valuable and impressive for both collectors and players. This skin belongs to a prestigious collection-Gamma Collection-what makes it even more desirable and some kind of a symbol of skill and prestige inside the CS2 community.
The Nova | Exo Factory New is considered one of the most in-demand items in CS2, based on its daily sales volume and current market value, with an astonishing 85% popularity rating in the CS2 community. In other words, it is within the top 15% of demand in this game.
The Nova | Exo is one of 134 other Shotgun skins in CS2-so, a relatively big pool of options. However, the Mil-Spec Grade rarity would make it fairly common, with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.
This skin is pretty cheap, its price ranges from $0.09 to $0.69, so it can be afforded by most players. The skin is available in many markets, and it shouldn't be a problem to get it. As a matter of fact, there are 861K units of the Exo skin in public CS2 inventories at the moment, which shows just how popular and accessible this skin is.
In CS2, the Nova | Exo has a float value ranging from 0.00 to 0.50. This means the skin is available in all exteriors, and for each of them, there is also a variant with StatTrak. In this way, it is possible to kill with precision, tracking each kill with style.
The reputation of Nova | Exo among the CS2 community is extremely positive, as it has been rated with an astonishing average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg based on over 7.8K votes. This fact is even more widely confirmed among the owners, with professional players of high skill including spunj, k0nfig, and chrisj.
This Factory New Nova | Exo features an exterior design that showcases a Patina style, resembling the result of hardened shells from chemical reactions on metallic parts. The purple and white color adds class to this skin, but its unique overall look comes from the pattern index that the Exo finish it has.
According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Exo (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.443 (-20.82%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.45 (-19.57%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.55 (-1.79%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.99 (76.79%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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