Nova | Exo (Well-Worn)

4.8 7862 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.01
+4.55%
Last month
$ 0.07
+43.75%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.234
-6.28%
In a quarter
$ 0.215
-13.84%
In half a year
$ 0.249
-0.36%
In a year
$ 0.46
+83.92%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
73% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
133 offers on 9 markets
Updated6 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Exo (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Exo inspecting Nova | Exo reloading Nova | Exo holding Nova | Exo pose-1 Nova | Exo pose-2 Nova | Exo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.23
  • 7 days low: $ 0.22
  • 7 days high: $ 158
  • 7 days price change: 4.55%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.16
  • 30 days high: $ 158
  • 30 days price change: 43.75%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.14
  • 90 days high: $ 158
  • Year low: $ 0.1
  • Year high: $ 158
  • All time low: $ 0.089
  • All time high: $ 158
  • All time max offers: 150
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 14
  • Sales for last 7 days: 71
  • Sales for last 30 days: 308
  • Sales for last 90 days: 889
  • All time sales: 2817
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.53
  • Volatility: 34.95%
  • Liquidity: 11.86%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.234
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.28%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.215
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -13.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.249
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -0.36%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.46
  • Price forecast change in a year: 83.92%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.191
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.191
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.029
15.30%
Result
👍 Success
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.27
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.191
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.191
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.16
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 0.19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.029
15.30%
Result
👍 Success
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.27
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.029
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.461
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Well-Worn
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Description

The Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) is an inexpensive shotgun that proves to be an extremely formidable team choice for a budget, top-notch in surprise attacks. A sleek silver panel motif over a vibrant purple pattern base, this shotgun is where its true strength rests within performance, not within the appearances of the cosmetic outer layer.

History

History

The Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) was introduced to CS2 on June 15th, 2016, with the Gamma Case and the accompanying "Gamma Exposure" update. This skin was designed by the community designer "SHPR", and it became really popular fairly quick since this skin already looked nicely weathered with some battle scars and worn-out textures.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) is a CS2 skin taken from an opened container of the Gamma Case, a case in CS2 that contains a number of skins for different weapons. It is one of the skins featured in the collection of skins called The Gamma Collection. Most items in this collection feature a steampunk theme, with the feel of advanced technology.

Popularity

Popularity

The well-worn Nova | Exo skin is one of the most popular ones in CS2, having an extremely high popularity score at 85%, putting it in the top 15% of the most popular items. It gets this rating when its consistent daily sales volume and market value of the skin are observed.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. This skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, which makes it a somewhat common drop; it features an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The well-worn Nova | Exo skin is highly available in CS2, with prices ranging from $0.09 to $0.69, depending on the condition of the skin, making it quite affordable. This skin is very easily found on a number of markets, ensuring that every player can easily buy it. Secondly, there were an astonishing 861k units of the Exo in public CS2 inventories, which means this skin indeed is very popular in the player base.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) in CS2 is from 0.00 to 0.50, thus allowing this skin to be turned on in all their exteriors with a little worn look. Furthermore, for collectors who want a bit more prestige, there is also a StatTrak version available of Exo in each exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) is generally appreciated in CS2, as can be seen from over 7.8K votes on addskins.gg, with an astonishing average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. That is further validated because it is owned by popular professional players spunj, k0nfig, and chrisj.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-in Nova boasts an amazing "Patina" style, mixed with an Exo finish that resembles the non-reactive, hardened shell that forms through real-life weapon patinas: case hardening, cold bluing, and acid-forced patinas. The purple and white color scheme has a bit of flair with class, while the pattern index is different on the Exo finish, which plays a role in how it will look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Exo (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.234 (-6.28%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.215 (-13.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.249 (-0.36%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.46 (83.92%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.