Nova | Graphite (Minimal Wear)

4.7 10738 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.79
+18.08%
Last month
$ 4.5
+62.59%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 9.89
-15.69%
In a quarter
$ 9.35
-20.29%
In half a year
$ 10.8
-7.93%
In a year
$ 18.69
+59.34%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
73% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
36 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Nova | Graphite (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Graphite inspecting Nova | Graphite reloading Nova | Graphite holding Nova | Graphite pose-1 Nova | Graphite pose-2 Nova | Graphite pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.69
  • 24h price change: 0.6%
  • 7 days low: $ 9.9
  • 7 days high: $ 83.89
  • 7 days price change: 18.08%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.19
  • 30 days high: $ 84.43
  • 30 days price change: 62.59%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.19
  • 90 days high: $ 85.05
  • Year low: $ 5.66
  • Year high: $ 684
  • All time low: $ 5.66
  • All time high: $ 684
  • All time max offers: 90
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 40
  • Sales for last 30 days: 113
  • Sales for last 90 days: 264
  • All time sales: 644
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.15
  • Volatility: 19.08%
  • Liquidity: 9.95%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 9.89
  • Price forecast change in a month: -15.69%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.35
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -20.29%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 10.8
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -7.93%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 18.69
  • Price forecast change in a year: 59.34%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Graphite (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.87
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.58
20.08%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.45
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.56
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.11
11.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.93
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.93
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.87
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.87
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.86
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 8.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 8.54
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.38
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.58
20.08%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.45
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.87
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.56
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.11
11.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 9.93
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.93
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 11
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.69
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 27.25
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
73%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Graphite-Minimal Wear will be a more budget-friendly option for teams on a budget-a reliable choice in surprise attacks. Sleek, with a polygon pattern and metallic paints of various reflectivities applied over a chrome base coat, adding a bit of style to its functionality.

History

History

The Nova | Graphite first popped up in CS2 on November 8th, 2013, and is a completely new addition to the roster in the game. It was included with the CS2 Weapon Case 2, which accompanied the "Arms Deal 2" update, and offered players a rather stylish choice when it came to close combat.

Origin

Origin

This sleek and deadly shotgun can be obtained via opening a container of CS2 Weapon Case 2. The Nova | Graphite is one of the highly sought-after appearances to adorn The Arms Deal 2 Collection due to its unusual design and rarity among other weapon finishes.

Popularity

Popularity

A popularity of 85% makes the Nova | Graphite Minimal Wear among the top 15% items in CS2, which is defined by high demand for the skin, accounting for the selling quantity and price every day.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Graphite Minimal Wear is a skin for Shotgun and one out of 134 other skins for this weapon. Skin name The range of this skin is Restricted; this, therefore, makes this skin pretty rare to be found as the drop chance is approximately around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The skin Nova | Graphite Minimal Wear became quite reasonable, having varied between 8.53 and 17.32 dollars of value, which can be regarded as one of the cheapest options to equip in-game. Moreover, this skin is very available because it has been widely spread across different markets, which definitely means that any player will be able to get this very skin in no time. Indeed, there are already 28.6K units of Graphite skin in public CS2 inventories, which justifies its popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

In CS2, the float value of Nova | Graphite (Minimal Wear) ranges from 0.00 to 0.12, hence gamers can get the skin in Factory New and Minimal Wear conditions. Besides, in every kind of an external look one is able to find a StatTrak look of Graphite.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community has taken an instant liking to Nova | Graphite, and it's easy to explain-the over 10.7K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars speak volumes. And it is not just amateur players who love it; professional CS2 players like daps, n0thing, and krystal proudly own this skin and actively use it in their matches.

Finish style

Finish style

This finish of the Nova skin is sleek with a "Graphite" finish, making it metallic gray. The pattern index of the finish greatly affects how it looks because most of the design is dominated by shades of gray.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Graphite (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 9.89 (-15.69%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 9.35 (-20.29%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 10.8 (-7.93%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 18.69 (59.34%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.09
Max: 0.12
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.