Nova | Koi (Factory New)

4.8 10019 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.18
+5.2%
Last month
$ 1.13
+45.02%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.52
-10.2%
In a quarter
$ 2.63
-32.91%
In half a year
$ 3.06
-21.94%
In a year
$ 5.09
+29.85%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
314 offers on 11 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 4.8
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from $ 4.89
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from $ 4.94
Avan.Market
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3 offers
from $ 5.1
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35 offers
from $ 6.7
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 7
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from $ 8.14
Inspect skin
Nova | Koi (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Koi inspecting Nova | Koi reloading Nova | Koi holding Nova | Koi pose-1 Nova | Koi pose-2 Nova | Koi pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 3.64
  • 7 days low: $ 3.46
  • 7 days high: $ 65.76
  • 7 days price change: 5.2%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.51
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 45.02%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.44
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 1.21
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 0.91
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 392
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 80
  • Sales for last 7 days: 617
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2260
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4249
  • All time sales: 10987
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -0.66
  • Volatility: 24.45%
  • Liquidity: 6.84%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.52
  • Price forecast change in a month: -10.2%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.63
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -32.91%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 3.06
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -21.94%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 5.09
  • Price forecast change in a year: 29.85%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Koi (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.57
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.33
21.02%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.9
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.46
24.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.87
74.80%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.57
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.54
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.44
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.58
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.33
21.02%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.9
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.46
24.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.82
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.5
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.5
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.93
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.51
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 4.37
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.87
74.80%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.66
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.97
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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$ 0.82
46%
From last month
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In a year 57%
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9 offers on 3 markets
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Well-Worn
4.5 7621
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Battle-Scarred
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38%
From last week
12 offers on 7 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
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Mil-Spec Grade
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Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
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Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
34 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7739
In a year 98%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
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Nova
Blaze Orange
Minimal Wear
4.5 7651
In a year 66%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.77 $ 35.54
16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Koi Factory New is a more economic solution that teams with tight budgets can employ in order to have a reliable ambush weapon. That custom paint job is stunningly executed; beautifully variegated koi scales add a touch of elegance to its deadly firepower.

History

History

The Nova | Koi appeared in the CS2 community on July 1st, 2014, with the Operation Breakout update, which featured the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. This beauty was designed by hiyoko_prince, a talented community designer, and it was highly appreciated by collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

This skin, in its beauty, can be achieved when the player gets very lucky and is awarded this unique design upon unlocking a Factory New skin via an Operation Breakout Weapon Case container. The Breakout Collection includes this skin, which is given to the intricate beauty of the koi fish. As such, this makes it one of the highly sought-after skins within the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Koi in Factory New condition is one of the most popular CS2 skins, with an 85% popularity rating. That puts it among the top 15% most sought-after skins in the entire game based on the number of sales that take place with it every day and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Koi (Factory New) is one of 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. This skin is classified as Restricted, making it quite rare with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

As for the price of Nova | Koi (Factory New), it was pretty cheap and ranged from $0.51-$3.38, so many players could afford to buy such a skin. Now it is very easy to get because it's really widely available and can be easily bought from almost any market. Already about 466.7K units of this Koi skin have reached public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float value of Nova | Koi is in the range from 0.00 to 0.30 that means this skin is available from the Factory New up to Field-Tested grades with Minimal Wear grade standing between them. Also, the player can equip a StatTrak variant for each Koi skin exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Koi attracted extremely positive community sentiment, which is represented in the voting at addskins.gg with an average score of 4.8 out of 5 stars and more than 10K votes. This skin is also in the play of several professional players in CS: GO: krimz, fallen and olofmeister have this skin in Factory New condition.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Nova features a striking "Koi" finish, made up of a highly intricate color scheme, including bright red and white colors. The "Custom Paint Job" style allows any pattern index to be highly custom and eye-catching.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Koi (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 3.52 (-10.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 2.63 (-32.91%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 3.06 (-21.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.09 (29.85%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.3
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.