Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New)

4.9 6191 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.11
+26.83%
Last month
$ 0.2
+62.5%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.393
-21.44%
In a quarter
$ 0.323
-35.44%
In half a year
$ 0.453
-9.46%
In a year
$ 0.95
+90.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
129 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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Inspect skin
Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Polar Mesh inspecting Nova | Polar Mesh reloading Nova | Polar Mesh holding Nova | Polar Mesh pose-1 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-2 Nova | Polar Mesh pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.52
  • 24h price change: 9.01%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.41
  • 7 days high: $ 9 999
  • 7 days price change: 26.83%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.32
  • 30 days high: $ 9 999
  • 30 days price change: 62.5%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.13
  • 90 days high: $ 9 999
  • Year low: $ 0.012
  • Year high: $ 9 999
  • All time low: $ 0.012
  • All time high: $ 9 999
  • All time max offers: 428
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 32
  • Sales for last 7 days: 222
  • Sales for last 30 days: 917
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2246
  • All time sales: 7121
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.44
  • Volatility: 15.77%
  • Liquidity: 10.72%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.393
  • Price forecast change in a month: -21.44%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.323
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -35.44%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.453
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -9.46%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.95
  • Price forecast change in a year: 90.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.2
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.234
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.265
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.32
160.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.43
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.2
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.2
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.226
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.219
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.142
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.14
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.13
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.212
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.234
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.265
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.39
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.32
160.00%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.43
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.43
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 0.49
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.32
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.63
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) offers an affordable, thus more approachable but far from inefficient solution for teams who have to save their budget somewhere and provides a consistent ambush weapon. The body is spray-painted with a design inspired by mesh fencing and cardboard cutouts; it blends into any environment like a predator.

History

History

Nova | Polar Mesh first came into the CS2 game on November 27th, 2013, together with the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, accompanying the very cool update called "Out with the old, in with the new". Since then, this Factory New skin has been one of the most wanted due to its mesh being highly detailed and appearing to be in perfect condition.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) in CS2 is only available when opening a case, one of the 10 cases this particular skin was obtained from, for example, Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Train Souvenir Package. The skin also forms part of The Train Collection, which further makes it desirable to both collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) for CS2 has become pretty popular and stands in the top 25% of skins, as it holds a popularity rating at 75%. Such high demand is treated with respect to daily sales volume and the price the skin sells for, making it one of the desirable options among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The following skin is Factory New in-game: Nova | Polar Mesh. This skin is one of 134 CS2 shotgun skins. The Nova | Polar Mesh is a Consumer Grade skin, and is one of the more supplies skins in the CS2 market making it less challenging to acquire.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.01 and $4.84, the Nova | Polar Mesh is an affordable and cheap option for CS2 players looking to spice up their loadout. The skin also remains easily available in most markets, hence being quite available. There are approximately 6.2 million units of the Polar Mesh skin available in public CS2 inventories at the time of writing.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Polar Mesh in Factory New condition is from 0.06 to 0.80, so this skin is available in all exterior for CS2 players. Besides, in each exterior, collectors can also find a Souvenir version of the Polar Mesh to add some special flavor to their inventory.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community love for Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) is just overwhelming, having more than 6K votes with an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. It is also owned by professional players such as happy and allu.

Finish style

Finish style

Factory New Nova: This is a particularly great-looking "Spray-Paint" style, featuring a Polar Mesh finish applied with several layers of spray paint by means of stencil patterns. Most of the color in this skin is gray, making it really sleek and modern. In addition to this, the pattern index gives it a unique feel and look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Polar Mesh (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.393 (-21.44%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.323 (-35.44%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.453 (-9.46%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.95 (90.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players