Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)

4.5 7546 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.79
+12.14%
Last month
$ 1.39
+23.52%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 6.79
-8.74%
In a quarter
$ 7.63
+2.55%
In half a year
$ 8.86
+19.09%
In a year
$ 13.98
+87.9%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
132 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Skull inspecting Nova | Rising Skull reloading Nova | Rising Skull holding Nova | Rising Skull pose-1 Nova | Rising Skull pose-2 Nova | Rising Skull pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.3
  • 7 days low: $ 6.51
  • 7 days high: $ 74.49
  • 7 days price change: 12.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.91
  • 30 days high: $ 95.79
  • 30 days price change: 23.52%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.64
  • 90 days high: $ 95.79
  • Year low: $ 5.33
  • Year high: $ 1 957
  • All time low: $ 4.88
  • All time high: $ 1 957
  • All time max offers: 165
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 69
  • Sales for last 30 days: 174
  • Sales for last 90 days: 447
  • All time sales: 1110
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.35
  • Volatility: 26.39%
  • Liquidity: 7.22%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 6.79
  • Price forecast change in a month: -8.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.63
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.55%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 8.86
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 19.09%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.98
  • Price forecast change in a year: 87.9%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.09
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.81
11.42%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.38
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.14
12.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.69
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 7.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.09
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.96
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 6.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 6.3
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 6.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.64
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.8
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 7.9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.81
11.42%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.14
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.09
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 9.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.38
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.52
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.14
12.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.69
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.69
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 6.54
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.95
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 23.16
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is the cheapest shotgun, ideal for teams on a shoestring budget to perform surprise attacks. Moreover, the matte paint finish with this hand-drawn skull gives the weapon a really outstanding and threatening look, which will make opponents wonder how such a number of these shotguns appeared in Mr. Izaki's collection.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Skull first appeared in CS2 on December 18th, 2013, initially released as part of the Winter Offensive Weapon Case for the "Winter Offensive" update. This elaborately designed skin is the brainchild of the brilliant community designer known as UFOsAreReal, bringing the chill of the skull motif into reality with exceptional attention to the minute details and excellent craftsmanship.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is a very rare skin that could be obtained by opening the Winter Offensive Weapon Case container, which finally gave a player the opportunity to wield this fearsome shotgun. Besides, it is a pretty highly valued addition in the Winter Offensive Collection, so this skin is absolutely unique and will adorn any CS2 arsenal.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Rising Skull is very popular among CS2 players, having an amazing popularity rating of 85%. It keeps staying in the top 15% of skins by sales volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

Nova | Rising Skull(Factory New) - This shotgun skin is one of 134 other skins available in CS2. The drop is rather rare and is classified as Restricted. As such, the estimated drop chance stands at about 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Rising Skull is that type of CS2 skin, Factory New, which will not leave a player broke because it costs in the range of $4.13 up to $12.88. Quite an affordable option, and you can easily find it on sale in different markets. Currently, there are 51.9K units of Rising Skull in public CS2 inventories, which already shows its popularity among players.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 skin Nova | Rising Skull features a float value between 0.00 and 0.50, which indicates that the skin will be in all its possible variants from pristine to slightly worn. Moreover, every exterior has a StatTrak version of Rising Skull to keep style with tracking kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rising Skull got a great community encouragement-7.4K votes on addskins.gg, and the average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. The fact that this skin was in the inventory of such famous CS2 players as fallen, snax, and xyp9x, proves its popularity even more.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New Nova has an exclusive skin entitled "Rising Skull," giving this gun a mean look and catching many eyes. The type of custom paint used allows great variability in color, but the main color is chilling white. Irrespective of pattern indexes, the finish called Rising Skull stays constant and makes this skin quite eye-catching.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 6.79 (-8.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.63 (2.55%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 8.86 (19.09%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.98 (87.9%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players