Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear)

4.5 7423 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.05
+1.02%
Last month
$ 0.89
+21.98%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.18
+5.07%
In a quarter
$ 5.61
+13.79%
In half a year
$ 6.21
+25.96%
In a year
$ 8.94
+81.34%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
74% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
107 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Skull inspecting Nova | Rising Skull reloading Nova | Rising Skull holding Nova | Rising Skull pose-1 Nova | Rising Skull pose-2 Nova | Rising Skull pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.94
  • 24h price change: 0.4065%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.89
  • 7 days high: $ 18.82
  • 7 days price change: 1.02%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.05
  • 30 days high: $ 20
  • 30 days price change: 21.98%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.05
  • 90 days high: $ 50.62
  • Year low: $ 4.05
  • Year high: $ 187
  • All time low: $ 3.81
  • All time high: $ 187
  • All time max offers: 110
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 7
  • Sales for last 7 days: 38
  • Sales for last 30 days: 182
  • Sales for last 90 days: 433
  • All time sales: 1152
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 2.22
  • Volatility: 19.31%
  • Liquidity: 7.68%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.18
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.07%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.61
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 13.79%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 6.21
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 25.96%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 8.94
  • Price forecast change in a year: 81.34%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.35
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 7.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.79
33.46%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.57
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.87
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
4.57%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.44
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 6
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.76
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.35
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.29
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.29
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.21
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.68
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.88
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.79
33.46%
Result
👍 Success
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.57
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.87
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.3
4.57%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.44
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.44
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.09
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 16.36
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
74%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) is a cheap shotgun that's the best for surprise attacks and is well-suited to teams with even the tightest of budgets. Outside of in-game action, this sleek design sports a hand-drawn skull image created with matte paints and an oil-based paint marker, thus putting a personal touch on the weapon. In fact, Mr. Izaki probably got a tad carried away with the shotgun collection, but this Nova definitely stands out.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Skull first entered the CS2 community on December 18th, 2013, when the skin was given to the Winter Offensive Weapon Case during the "Winter Offensive" update. This spooky design was provided courtesy of the talented community designer known as "UFOsAreReal," adding a little something extra to spice up the Nova shotgun.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Skull skin is in a minimal wear condition and was added to the game through the opening of a container called Winter Offensive Weapon Case; hence, it is highly wanted for CS2 players. A scary skull rises from the deep, included in the Winter Offensive Collection to give chills to opponents and prove dominance in fights.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) is one of the hottest CS2 skins out there, with a very high popularity rating of 85%. This rating is derived from the volume of sales that the skin has daily and its current market price, which, of course, signifies quite an appeal to players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Rising Skull-Minimal Wear is one of the 134 other shotgun skins available in the game, making it quite exclusive for players. The skin has been classified with a rarity of Restricted, meaning the Rising Skull is an extremely rare drop with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The most budgetary option is CS2 Nova | Rising Skull Minimal Wear, which costs in the range from $4.13 to $12.88. Meanwhile, it can be found without much hassle on various markets and thus is easily accessible for gamers willing to add this skin to their inventory. Besides, with 51.9K units of this skin currently present in different public CS2 inventories, it is not able to be considered as a rare appearance either.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) for CS2 ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, thus making it available in all skins, and each skin variant is also available in StatTrak form. Being an ominous and realistic pattern, this skin has a rather nicely designed skull with minor wear.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rising Skull has been quite favored in the CS2 community, garnering a very high vote count on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is further nailed down by the fact that ownership includes popular professional players like fallen, snax, and xyp9x.

Finish style

Finish style

The design for custom paint jobs in Nova | Rising Skull-Minimal Wear allows for a large range of color customization; the principal color is a subtle white tint. Whatever the pattern index might be, the finish of the Rising Skull does not change, which makes it always look consistent and striking.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Skull (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 5.18 (5.07%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.61 (13.79%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 6.21 (25.96%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 8.94 (81.34%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players