Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)

4.5 7533 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.67
+12.59%
Last month
$ 1.24
+26.11%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.44
-25.88%
In a quarter
$ 4.61
-23.04%
In half a year
$ 5.94
-0.83%
In a year
$ 10.64
+77.63%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
58% - Forecast accuracy
58% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
21 offers on 3 markets
Updated7 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
14 offers
from $ 5.99
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 7.78
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
6 offers
from $ 7.78
Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Skull inspecting Nova | Rising Skull reloading Nova | Rising Skull holding Nova | Rising Skull pose-1 Nova | Rising Skull pose-2 Nova | Rising Skull pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.99
  • 7 days low: $ 5.32
  • 7 days high: $ 12.04
  • 7 days price change: 12.59%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.75
  • 30 days high: $ 13.98
  • 30 days price change: 26.11%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.75
  • 90 days high: $ 46.21
  • Year low: $ 3.17
  • Year high: $ 46.21
  • All time low: $ 2.14
  • All time high: $ 46.21
  • All time max offers: 53
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 10
  • Sales for last 30 days: 33
  • Sales for last 90 days: 73
  • All time sales: 163
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 2.38
  • Volatility: 14.1%
  • Liquidity: 5.55%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.44
  • Price forecast change in a month: -25.88%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.61
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -23.04%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.94
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -0.83%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 10.64
  • Price forecast change in a year: 77.63%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6.3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.3
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.3
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.3
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 6.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5.5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 5.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.34
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.7
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.2
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.57
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.56
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.13
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.84
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.3
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
58%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
58%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Rising Skull is the budget shotgun for surprise attacks. This matte-painted shotgun that sports a hand-drawn skull design offers teams on an ultra-tight budget some solace. This gives it a rather menacing aura, but opponents may think twice before the Nova meets them.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Skull first emerged in the CS2 community on December 18th, 2013, in the Winter Offensive Weapon Case, as part of the "Winter Offensive" update. This Halloween-skin-like map was submitted by the skilled community designer "UFOsAreReal," and it gave an eerie appeal to the game's arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Skull-Well-Worn is a CS2 skin that is obtainable inside the video game through the container Winter Offensive Weapon Case. It has an icy menace touch on the weapon. It is among its items in The Winter Offensive Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular ones: 85% popularity among all players and stands in the top 15% of the best items in CS2. This is determined by considering and analyzing its daily sales volume and its market price for desirousness among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The Well-Worn Nova Rising Skull is one of 134 other Shotgun skins that are available in CS2. Given the pattern, the skin has Restricted rarity, meaning it is relatively rare and can be dropped with an estimated chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price for Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) in CS2 may vary from $4.13 to $12.88. It's very easy to get since this skin is available in lots of markets and has a wide pool - nearly 51.9K units are presented in the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

float: This is from 0.38 to 0.45, so the Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) is almost worn but still showing evident scratches and faded design. A StatTrak version is available for each of these exteriors, providing the tracking of kills with this fearsome shotgun.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Well-Worn Nova | Rising Skull was very popular in the community. It received over 7.4K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. It is also well-liked among professional CS2 players. For example, fallen, snax, and xyp9x have added this skin to their inventory.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin, Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) for CS2, customizes the paint job with a Rising Skull finish. In this particular skin, white is the main color of the body, thereby giving a huge scope for customization of color. Secondly, different pattern indexes can be used to create different forms of the Rising Skull finish of this skin, although the skin will look consistent and eye-catching.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Skull (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 4.44 (-25.88%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.61 (-23.04%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 5.94 (-0.83%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 10.64 (77.63%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players