Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New)

4.8 109 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.36
+9.14%
Last month
$ 2.06
+91.96%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.55
-40.7%
In a quarter
$ 7.26
+68.84%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
21% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
286 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Avan.Market
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from $ 5.14
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Sun inspecting Nova | Rising Sun reloading Nova | Rising Sun holding Nova | Rising Sun pose-1 Nova | Rising Sun pose-2 Nova | Rising Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.3
  • 7 days low: $ 3.94
  • 7 days high: $ 58.4
  • 7 days price change: 9.14%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.24
  • 30 days high: $ 58.4
  • 30 days price change: 91.96%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.15
  • 90 days high: $ 58.4
  • Year low: $ 2.14
  • Year high: $ 438
  • All time low: $ 2.14
  • All time high: $ 438
  • All time max offers: 344
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 53
  • Sales for last 7 days: 419
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1681
  • Sales for last 90 days: 4341
  • All time sales: 11543
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.26
  • Volatility: 10.66%
  • Liquidity: 47.58%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.55
  • Price forecast change in a month: -40.7%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 7.26
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 68.84%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.89
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.28
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.24
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-1.75%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.33
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.76
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.34
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.28
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.28
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.24
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.04
-1.75%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.26
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.58
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2.8
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 3.26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 3.33
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.33
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 2.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.89
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.39
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.15
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.55
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.04
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 5.61
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
21%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New) boasts an affordable price point, making it an ideal choice for teams on a budget looking for a reliable ambush weapon. Its stunning stained glass Japanese motif, custom painted with meticulous detail, shines brilliantly in the sunlight, adding a touch of artistry to your arsenal.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Sun skin made its debut in CS2 on March 31st, 2025, when it was introduced as part of the Fever Case update. Designed by the community artist "Mia", this skin quickly gained popularity for its intricate Rising Sun motif and was well-received by players.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New) skin can be acquired by opening a Spectrum Case container. This skin is part of the Spectrum Collection in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the Nova | Rising Sun in Factory New condition is highly sought after by players in CS2, making it a top choice for many users. This skin's popularity is evident from its consistent demand and stable pricing within the game's marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Rising Sun is among 155 other Shotgun skins in CS2. With a rarity classification of Restricted, this makes the Rising Sun a relatively uncommon find, estimated to have a drop chance of around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $200 and $300, the Nova | Rising Sun in Factory New condition is considered a mid-range skin for CS2. Despite its popularity, availability may vary as it is commonly traded on various platforms.

Versions

Versions

The Nova | Rising Sun in Factory New condition boasts a pristine appearance with no wear or scratches, making it highly sought after by collectors. Additionally, the Factory New version features vibrant colors and crisp details, enhancing its overall visual appeal in Counter-Strike 2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rising Sun in Factory New condition has garnered positive feedback from the CS2 community, with over 108 votes on addskins.gg resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Additionally, notable professional players such as guardian, snax, and kennys have added this skin to their collections, further solidifying its popularity and desirability among players.

Finish style

Finish style

This Nova features a "Rising Sun" finish, showcasing a vibrant blend of red and orange hues reminiscent of a sunrise. The finish is applied smoothly across the entire weapon, with no variation in pattern indexes, giving it a clean and uniform appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Sun (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 2.55 (-40.7%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 7.26 (68.84%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.