Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)

4.8 109 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.08
+9.41%
Last month
$ 0.29
+45.31%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.71
-34.2%
In a quarter
$ 0.97
-10.1%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
684 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Sun inspecting Nova | Rising Sun reloading Nova | Rising Sun holding Nova | Rising Sun pose-1 Nova | Rising Sun pose-2 Nova | Rising Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.93
  • 24h price change: 1.09%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.85
  • 7 days high: $ 19.54
  • 7 days price change: 9.41%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.64
  • 30 days high: $ 1 692
  • 30 days price change: 45.31%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.61
  • 90 days high: $ 1 692
  • Year low: $ 0.5
  • Year high: $ 1 692
  • All time low: $ 0.5
  • All time high: $ 1 692
  • All time max offers: 2245
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 269
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2173
  • Sales for last 30 days: 9674
  • Sales for last 90 days: 31694
  • All time sales: 84484
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0633
  • Volatility: 100.0%
  • Liquidity: 37.62%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.71
  • Price forecast change in a month: -34.2%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.97
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -10.1%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.03
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.71
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.03
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.01
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.71
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 0.77
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 0.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.64
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.86
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.85
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.07
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) is an affordable yet effective choice for teams on a budget, perfect for surprise attacks. Its custom paint job features a stunning stained glass Japanese motif that truly shines when caught in the sunlight, a work of art by the up-and-coming arms dealer, Imogen.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Sun skin made its debut in CS2 on March 31st, 2025, when it was introduced as part of the Fever Case update. Designed by the community artist "Mia", this skin quickly gained popularity for its intricate Rising Sun motif and was well-received by players.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) skin is acquired through opening a Fever Case container in CS2. This skin is a part of the Fever Collection, adding a vibrant and striking design to the Nova weapon in-game.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) is currently highly sought after in the CS2 community, making it a top choice among players. This popularity measurement is derived from factors such as its aesthetic appeal, rarity, and demand in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) is one of 155 other Shotgun skins available in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. With a Restricted rarity, this skin is considered relatively rare, boasting an estimated drop chance of around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.15 and $6.50, the Nova | Rising Sun in Minimal Wear condition offers a budget-friendly option for CS:GO players. This skin is readily accessible across various markets, ensuring easy availability for those looking to add it to their collection.

Versions

Versions

The Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) skin for CS:GO has a float value that falls within the 0.07 to 0.15 range, showcasing minimal wear but still retaining its vibrant design. Additionally, there are StatTrak versions of the Nova | Rising Sun available for collectors looking to track their kills in-game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rising Sun in Minimal Wear condition has garnered positive community sentiment with over 108 votes on addskins.gg, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This popular skin is also in the inventory of renowned professional CS2 players such as guardian, snax, and kennys, further solidifying its appeal among the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

This Nova features the Rising Sun finish, giving it a vibrant and eye-catching appearance. The design combines intricate patterns and bold colors to create a striking look that stands out on the battlefield.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Sun (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.71 (-34.2%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.97 (-10.1%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.