Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)

4.8 109 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.08
+22.22%
Last month
$ 0.24
+120%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.161
-63.45%
In a quarter
$ 0.334
-24.07%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
17% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
842 offers on 8 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Rising Sun inspecting Nova | Rising Sun reloading Nova | Rising Sun holding Nova | Rising Sun pose-1 Nova | Rising Sun pose-2 Nova | Rising Sun pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.44
  • 24h price change: 7.32%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.36
  • 7 days high: $ 16.4
  • 7 days price change: 22.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.2
  • 30 days high: $ 16.52
  • 30 days price change: 120%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.13
  • 90 days high: $ 202
  • Year low: $ 0.13
  • Year high: $ 202
  • All time low: $ 0.13
  • All time high: $ 202
  • All time max offers: 3325
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 394
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2494
  • Sales for last 30 days: 11185
  • Sales for last 90 days: 27752
  • All time sales: 74607
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: -0.72
  • Volatility: 17.15%
  • Liquidity: 28.33%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.161
  • Price forecast change in a month: -63.45%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.334
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -24.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.4
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.23
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.02
-8.70%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.195
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.4
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.23
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.02
-8.70%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.195
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 0.16
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
✋ Hold
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.23
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.24
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.29
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.28
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.42
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -0.02
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.23
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The Nova | Rising Sun in Well-Worn condition is a budget-friendly choice for teams looking to surprise their opponents with close-range ambushes. Its custom paint job features a stained glass Japanese motif that shines brilliantly when caught in the sunlight, adding a touch of artistry to its utilitarian design.

History

History

The Nova | Rising Sun skin made its debut in CS2 on March 31st, 2025, when it was introduced as part of the Fever Case update. Designed by the community artist "Mia", this skin quickly gained popularity for its intricate Rising Sun motif and was well-received by players.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) skin for CS:GO can be acquired by opening a Fever Case container. It is also included in The Fever Collection, making it a sought-after item among players.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is highly sought after in CS2, ranking it among the top items in terms of demand and value. This popularity metric is determined by analyzing its consistent sales performance and market value within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is one of 155 other Shotgun skins available in CS2. The skin's rarity is Classified, making it a relatively uncommon drop with an estimated drop chance of 3.14%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $0.15 and $6.50, the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is an economical choice for CS2 players. The skin is readily accessible across various markets, ensuring easy availability for interested buyers.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) skin for CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a slightly worn appearance. Additionally, a StatTrak version is available for the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) in CS2, allowing players to track their kills with style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) has garnered significant attention within the CS2 community, boasting over 108 votes on addskins.gg with an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This skin has also found favor among professional CS2 players like guardian, snax, and kennys, further solidifying its popularity and positive sentiment in the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) features a unique finish inspired by the Rising Sun motif, combining patina and custom paint styles to create a striking design. The primary color of the skin is a vibrant pink hue that stands out on the CS2 model, with pattern indexes having no impact on the finish's appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.161 (-63.45%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.334 (-24.07%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.