Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New)

4.8 895017 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.33
+22.7%
Last month
$ 1.67
+30.25%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.45
-25.03%
In a quarter
$ 4.89
-32.74%
In half a year
$ 5.31
-26.96%
In a year
$ 9.97
+37.14%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
58% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
75% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
46 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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from $ 8.22
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from $ 8.45
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19 offers
from $ 9.81
Skinport
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6 offers
from $ 14.63
Avan.Market
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1 offers
from $ 29.07
CSGO.COM
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2 offers
from $ 33.08
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Inspect skin
Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New)
Gallery
Nova | Rust Coat inspecting Nova | Rust Coat reloading Nova | Rust Coat holding Nova | Rust Coat pose-1 Nova | Rust Coat pose-2 Nova | Rust Coat pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.19
  • 7 days low: $ 5.86
  • 7 days high: $ 50
  • 7 days price change: 22.7%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.52
  • 30 days high: $ 50
  • 30 days price change: 30.25%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.12
  • 90 days high: $ 50
  • Year low: $ 2.74
  • Year high: $ 50
  • All time low: $ 1.8
  • All time high: $ 50
  • All time max offers: 74
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 21
  • Sales for last 30 days: 74
  • Sales for last 90 days: 226
  • All time sales: 521
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 0.76
  • Volatility: 25.89%
  • Liquidity: 5.76%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.45
  • Price forecast change in a month: -25.03%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.89
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -32.74%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.31
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -26.96%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 9.97
  • Price forecast change in a year: 37.14%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.44
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.24
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
3.70%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.39
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.32
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.07
-2.06%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.39
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.25
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
7.38%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.8
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.77
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 8.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.4
71.28%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.52
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.24
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.12
3.70%
Result
👍 Success
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.39
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.39
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 3.32
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.07
-2.06%
Result
👎 Fail
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.39
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 3.25
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.27
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
7.38%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.8
Action
✋ Hold
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.35
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.77
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 8.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.4
71.28%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.08
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.52
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 8.08
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.69
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 20.17
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
5
Sell count
4
Success count
3
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
58%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
75%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last week
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Factory New
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Nova | Blaze Orange
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Well-Worn
$ 18.76 $ 35.54
16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Rust Coat is the cheapest way any team can get a reliable ambush gun. Externally, the rust coating has completely corroded away, but the shotgun remains operational-but its owner has long since abandoned any emotional attachment to superficial appearance and Contact sensitivity.

History

History

The Nova | Rust Coat first appeared within the CS2 community on December 3rd, 2020, as a newcomer among the weapon skin family. This exact skin was introduced to players upon receiving the highly-anticipated "Operation Broken Fang" update, and with that, a worn-out and weathered look of the Nova shotgun.

Origin

Origin

The Nova | Rust Coat is a rare skin and thus can not be obtained via container openings. Instead, it is an exclusive part of the Havoc Collection, which makes it highly demanded by any collector and enthusiastic player.

Popularity

Popularity

Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) is in the top-liked skin in CS2, having a popularity assessment of 70%. Its popularity comes from its unique and weathered design, which gives it a high value to players that consider both good looks and functionality to be vital aspects of their loadout.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) is one of 134 other skins for shotguns that exist in CS2. It possesses an Industrial Grade rarity, hence it is relatively common and can be generically seen in the gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) for CS2 is a cheap skin type because the minimal and maximal prices are floating within the range of $0.87-$1.56. It's really easy to get this skin because it's very widespread on different markets, and now there are 120.5K units of Rust Coat in open CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the Nova | Rust Coat ranges between 0.00 to 0.80 in Factory New condition, and thus allows players to get the skin in various different exteriors. Still, no StatTrak nor Souvenir versions of the Nova | Rust Coat exist.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Rust Coat features much higher community approval because the average rating is high: 4.8 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Its popularity can be judged by the fact that the skin is possessed by well-known professional CS2 players like f0rest and rez.

Finish style

Finish style

The patina style finish of the Nova | Rust Coat Factory New skin resembles a number of real-life weapon patinas: case hardening, cold bluing, acid forced patinas. Gray tints of paint greatly dominate this skin, making it look worn and weathered. The overall look of the Rust Coat finish is dictated by the pattern index of the skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Rust Coat (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 5.45 (-25.03%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.89 (-32.74%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 5.31 (-26.96%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 9.97 (37.14%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players