Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)

4.8 3314 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+100%
Last month
$ 0.02
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.026
-34.0%
In a quarter
$ 0.024
-40.0%
In half a year
$ 0.032
-20.0%
In a year
$ 0.064
+60.5%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1188 offers on 8 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Sand Dune inspecting Nova | Sand Dune reloading Nova | Sand Dune holding Nova | Sand Dune pose-1 Nova | Sand Dune pose-2 Nova | Sand Dune pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.04
  • 24h price change: 33.33%
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 10 000
  • 7 days price change: 100%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.02
  • 30 days high: $ 10 000
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.009
  • 90 days high: $ 10 000
  • Year low: $ 0.006
  • Year high: $ 10 000
  • All time low: $ 0.005
  • All time high: $ 10 000
  • All time max offers: 2887
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 143
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1390
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6928
  • Sales for last 90 days: 21377
  • All time sales: 78479
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 1.91
  • Volatility: 21.15%
  • Liquidity: 11.97%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.026
  • Price forecast change in a month: -34.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.024
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -40.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.032
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -20.0%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.064
  • Price forecast change in a year: 60.5%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.035
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.029
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.029
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.035
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.029
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.029
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.027
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.028
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.03
Action
🔥 Buy
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.029
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Sand Dune features one of the budget shotguns in the game, best used with surprise attacks whenever the teams are tight on money. Sleek and minimalist, it sports a sand dune color scheme, with the solid colors carrying over to being spray-painted onto the individual parts of this gun to give functionality some air of style.

History

History

The first time the Nova | Sand Dune appeared for CS2 players was almost ten years ago-more specifically, on November 27th, 2013. It was presented with a "Out with the old, in with the new" update and was highly desired skin, included in the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package, immediately stole the hearts of players because of its weird design.

Origin

Origin

This battle-scarred shotgun is an extremely rare and highly sought-after item, available only through unboxing a DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package container. The Nova | Sand Dune is part of The Italy Collection and depicts the sandy dunes of the Italian coastline that adds authenticity to the skin of the weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) holds a popularity rating of 75%. It therefore falls in the top quartile in terms of demand, which established its sales volume and market value per day within the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is one of the 134 other shotgun skins in CS2. Consumer Grade is the rarity classification for this skin, which makes it relatively common and frequently encountered while playing.

Availability

Availability

The prices of the Nova | Sand Dune Minimal Wear skin range within a broad price spectrum, which is between $0.01 and $416.11; thus, it is reasonably affordable for a player to invest in this skin. It is also highly available since this skin is traded on many different markets, and about 6.9 million units of this skin can be found within the public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) in CS2 ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which means that in-game this skin is possible to get in any exterior condition. Besides, in each variation of exterior, the collectors are able to find a souvenir version of the Sand Dune.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The skin Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) has extremely positive community sentiment, having over 3.2K votes on addskins.gg and receiving an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. It is desired even more because this skin is owned by famous professional CS2 players olofmeister and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

This has given this Nova a "Solid Color" style, painted with the Sand Dune finish. Overall, it gives an effect of a weapon having been painted in gray shades. The scheme remains consistent throughout this weapon, while pattern indexes do not affect the overall Sand Dune finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 0.026 (-34.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.024 (-40.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.032 (-20.0%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.064 (60.5%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.