Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)

4.8 3323 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.01
+100%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.018
-9.98%
In a quarter
$ 0.017
-14.18%
In half a year
$ 0.022
+12.67%
In a year
$ 0.05
+150.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
2630 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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9 offers
from $ 0.085
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4 offers
from $ 0.1
Lis-skins
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1 offers
from $ 0.37
Inspect skin
Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)
Gallery
Nova | Sand Dune inspecting Nova | Sand Dune reloading Nova | Sand Dune holding Nova | Sand Dune pose-1 Nova | Sand Dune pose-2 Nova | Sand Dune pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.02
  • 7 days low: $ 0.02
  • 7 days high: $ 172
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.01
  • 30 days high: $ 172
  • 30 days price change: 100%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.006
  • 90 days high: $ 172
  • Year low: $ 0.005
  • Year high: $ 172
  • All time low: $ 0.005
  • All time high: $ 172
  • All time max offers: 4147
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 143
  • Sales for last 7 days: 801
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6369
  • Sales for last 90 days: 12874
  • All time sales: 43387
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 9, 2025
  • Risk: 1.21
  • Volatility: 48.11%
  • Liquidity: 7.14%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.018
  • Price forecast change in a month: -9.98%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.017
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -14.18%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.022
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 12.67%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 0.05
  • Price forecast change in a year: 150.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.017
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.017
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.016
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.02
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.017
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.017
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 0.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 0.02
Action
🔥 Buy
November 9, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.02
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is also extremely cheap, thus perfect for squads on extremely tight budgets in need of a surprise-attack tool. The Sand Dune color scheme shows off solid-colored spray paint on each part, giving it a truly unique and rugged look that seems to blend into the deserts around it.

History

History

The Nova | Sand Dune first appeared in the CS2 community on November 27th, 2013, when the EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package was released. It was an update that brought new content and great changes waiting for the players.

Origin

Origin

The worn-out Nova | Sand Dune was a skin purchased through opening either a container for a DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. It was also part of the Italy Collection, giving it that Mediterranean feel for the weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

The Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 community, with a popularity rate of 75%. In the row of the most wanted items, it can be put in the top ones because a volume of sales and price turn it into one of the most valuable ones.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Sand Dune has a Consumer Grade rarity and is one of 134 other shotgun skins available in CS2. Being well-worn, this skin would be rather common and very often appear in gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) CS2 skin can range from as low as $0.01 to $416.11, considering it is such an affordable skin in the market. It is pretty easily accessible since it was located in a number of markets, hence pretty easy to add to one's inventory. Currently, about 6.9 million units of the Sand Dune skin exist in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of this well-worn Nova | Sand Dune ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, allowing this skin to pull in a wide range of wear levels. Moreover, for every skin exterior, there exists a Sand Dune souvenir edition for collectors, adding exclusiveness to this common skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins among the community for the CS2 gameplay. It has over 3.2K votes on addskins.gg, with an average rating of 4.8 out of five stars. One more proof of the popularity of this gun skin is that this particular skin is owned by two of the most popular professional players: olofmeister and f0rest.

Finish style

Finish style

The worn-out Nova has a "Solid Color" style with a Sand Dune finish; for this model of firearm, each component is painted with three or four different colors before being carefully reassembled. That said, this particular skin is mostly gray, but the pattern indexes do not change the Sand Dune look of this weapon.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.018 (-9.98%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.017 (-14.18%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 0.022 (12.67%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 0.05 (150.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.