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1 minute ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The budget Nova | Toy Soldier-Field-Tested acts as an affordable shotgun that has proven its worth in team plays on a tight budget, ensuring that enemies get the deadliest surprise in an ambush situation. The nostalgic green paint job reminds one of childhood memories, while its ability to deliver a barrage of pellets means maximum firepower on the battlefield.
Nova | Toy Soldier was first featured in CS2 on August 1st, 2018, and it was part of the Horizon Case. In no time, it gained extreme popularity because it seemed like a little toy soldier. The creation is an outcome of the creative thinking of a community designer going by the name "hexeth".
The Nova | Toy Soldier is a worn-out shotgun with a tribute to the brave soldiers of the Horizon Conflict. This weapon can be acquired by either receiving it from a Horizon Case container that has been opened or buying it through the analysts with either a trade or selling to acquire it, since it forms part of the exclusive Horizon Collection, proud of its quirky design alluding to the futuristic war grounds of the conflict.
The Nova | Toy Soldier field-tested skin enjoys an extremely high popularity in CS2, standing at 85%, and a huge portion of players wants this in-game, placing this skin in the top 15% of the most popular skins. This assessment is done, taking into consideration the volume of daily sales and market price of the skin.
The Nova | Toy Soldier is one out of 134 Shotgun skins, hence this skin is fairly rare in CS2. It's the skin that has a Restricted rarity level, with an approximate drop chance of 15.98%, therefore classifying it as pretty rare to get for players.
The cheapest variant is Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested), and it costs in a range of $0.32-$7.33. It is not that hard to get since it's available in many markets, and for a player, it's pretty easy to buy. Moreover, currently there are 391.2K units of the Toy Soldier skin in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Nova | Toy Soldier skin in CS2 ranges between 0.15 and 0.37, and it is field-tested, providing a slight wear mark on the gun with very few scratches and wear. There is also a StatTrak version for every exterior skin so players can track their kills in style.
The Nova | Toy Soldier has been quite well-accepted by the community, having a rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 4.2K votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further underlined by the fact that it is owned by famous CS2 players like nex, sjuush, and raalz.
This Field-Tested Nova has been painted with a "Custom Paint Job" style and features the bright and catching Toy Soldier finish. The base color of the skin is an enthralling green hue, while the different pattern indexes do nothing to change up the stunning look of the Toy Soldier finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 0.67 (-16.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.66 (-17.5%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.7 (-12.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.7 (-12.5%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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