Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear)

4.4 4273 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.07
+4.64%
Last month
$ 0.43
+37.39%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.58
+3.95%
In a quarter
$ 1.51
-0.66%
In half a year
$ 1.61
+5.92%
In a year
$ 2.31
+51.97%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
74% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
108 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
16 offers
from $ 1.58
White.Market
White.Market
13 offers
from $ 1.88
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 2
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
12 offers
from $ 2.3
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 2.83
Steam
Steam
41 offers
from $ 2.87
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 2.95
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 2.95
Skinport
Skinport
14 offers
from $ 3.91
Inspect skin
Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
Nova | Toy Soldier inspecting Nova | Toy Soldier reloading Nova | Toy Soldier holding Nova | Toy Soldier pose-1 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-2 Nova | Toy Soldier pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.58
  • 24h price change: 4.64%
  • 7 days low: $ 1.51
  • 7 days high: $ 38.75
  • 7 days price change: 4.64%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.15
  • 30 days high: $ 120
  • 30 days price change: 37.39%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.15
  • 90 days high: $ 120
  • Year low: $ 1.03
  • Year high: $ 202
  • All time low: $ 0.91
  • All time high: $ 205
  • All time max offers: 246
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 32
  • Sales for last 7 days: 227
  • Sales for last 30 days: 966
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2163
  • All time sales: 6249
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.69
  • Volatility: 11.55%
  • Liquidity: 12.26%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.58
  • Price forecast change in a month: 3.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.51
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -0.66%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 1.61
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 5.92%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2.31
  • Price forecast change in a year: 51.97%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.47
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.71
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
16.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.47
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.47
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.41
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.33
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.64
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.56
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.57
Action
🔥 Buy
October 8, 2025
Price
$ 1.39
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 1.2
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 1.71
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
16.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.24
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 1.47
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
74%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
178
2814
2311
9045
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 8/32
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 40.0
  • Rate of fire: 68
  • Movement speed: 220
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 0.82
46%
From last month
146 offers on 8 markets
4.7 2753
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
4.7 2670
In a year 57%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Factory New
4.7 2610
In a year 58%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Field-Tested
$ 96.03 $ 1 873
9 offers on 3 markets
4.7 2623
In a year 81%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Minimal Wear
4.7 2632
In a year 226%
Nova | Baroque Orange
Restricted
Normal
Nova
Baroque Orange
Well-Worn
4.5 7621
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
4.5 7798
In a year 120%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Battle-Scarred
$ 14.36
38%
From last week
12 offers on 7 markets
4.5 7740
In a year 135%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Factory New
4.5 7714
In a year 126%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Field-Tested
$ 13.37 $ 52.56
35 offers on 8 markets
4.5 7739
In a year 98%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Minimal Wear
4.5 7651
In a year 66%
Nova | Blaze Orange
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
Nova
Blaze Orange
Well-Worn
$ 18.77 $ 35.54
16 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Nova | Toy Soldier-Minimal Wear gives teams with the tightest of budgets an affordable option-a reliable weapon that's sure to pull off a good ambush. Hand-painted in nostalgic green, this submachine gun gives one memories of being a kid while mowing down opponents with a fusillade of pellets.

History

History

The Nova | Toy Soldier skin was first revealed to the CS2 community on August 1st, 2018, when it was released in the "A New Horizon" update and in the Horizon Case. This skin was developed by a bright community artist "hexeth," who soon made this skin sought after by players.

Origin

Origin

Nova | Toy Soldier-This skin in CS2 can be pulled out from an in-game item container called the Horizon Case, where the minimal wear variant may reveal itself if one is lucky enough. Being a very popular pull from The Horizon Collection, this skin has a fun design, really bright in color and reminding one of toy soldiers.

Popularity

Popularity

The minimal wear of Nova | Toy Soldier is very popular in the CS2 community, given its high popularity rating of 85%. This means that among the best 15% of all in-game items, calculated based on daily sales volume and market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is one of the 134 shotgun skins present in CS2. Its rarity is Restricted, meaning a pretty rare drop and standing at an estimated chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is a pretty cheap skin; its price ranges from $0.32 up to $7.33. It is also quite easy to get because this skin is available on many markets, and the number of CS2 players who had been dreaming about having this skin in their collection is rather high. This skin is really easy to get because there are 391.2K units of it present in public inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) in CS2 ranges from 0.07 to 0.15, which ensures that this skin is well-preserved and looks just a little worn. This version is available in all exteriors and StatTrak variants for collectors wishing to show off their kill count with this festive firearm.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Nova | Toy Soldier skin has had good community sentiment, having more than 4.2K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is not only in professional players like nex, sjuush, and raalz but also in possessing this skin and playing with it in professional matches.

Finish style

Finish style

This Minimal Wear Nova sports a "Custom Paint Job" style, which further elevates the look with the Toy Soldier finish for uniqueness and personalization. The skin has a bright, greenish tint as its main color, and pattern indexes do nothing to alter the Toy Soldier striking finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 1.58 (3.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.51 (-0.66%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 1.61 (5.92%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2.31 (51.97%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players